Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 50% implied probabilities for NFLX closing the week of May 4 in the $110-$120, $120-$130, or $130-$140 ranges, highlighting tight competition among upside scenarios from current levels near $92 amid post-Q1 earnings volatility. The April 16 release delivered 16% revenue growth to $12.25 billion and EPS of $1.23—beating estimates—plus a $25 billion buyback authorization, but Q2 guidance for $0.78 EPS missed consensus at $0.84, sparking a 10% plunge. Netflix differentiates via superior subscriber adds, ad revenue trajectory toward $3 billion in 2026, and content efficiency versus Disney+ and Prime Video peers. Analyst targets average $115, with swing factors including tech sector momentum and no near-term catalysts before May 8 resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour>$140 96%
$90-$100 49%
$130-$140 48.5%
$110-$120 47%
<$50
1%
$50-$60
4%
$60-$70
5%
$70-$80
39%
$80-$90
44%
$90-$100
49%
$100-$110
37%
$110-$120
47%
$120-$130
8%
$130-$140
49%
>$140
96%
>$140 96%
$90-$100 49%
$130-$140 48.5%
$110-$120 47%
<$50
1%
$50-$60
4%
$60-$70
5%
$70-$80
39%
$80-$90
44%
$90-$100
49%
$100-$110
37%
$110-$120
47%
$120-$130
8%
$130-$140
49%
>$140
96%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Marché ouvert : May 1, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Source de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 50% implied probabilities for NFLX closing the week of May 4 in the $110-$120, $120-$130, or $130-$140 ranges, highlighting tight competition among upside scenarios from current levels near $92 amid post-Q1 earnings volatility. The April 16 release delivered 16% revenue growth to $12.25 billion and EPS of $1.23—beating estimates—plus a $25 billion buyback authorization, but Q2 guidance for $0.78 EPS missed consensus at $0.84, sparking a 10% plunge. Netflix differentiates via superior subscriber adds, ad revenue trajectory toward $3 billion in 2026, and content efficiency versus Disney+ and Prime Video peers. Analyst targets average $115, with swing factors including tech sector momentum and no near-term catalysts before May 8 resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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