Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99% implied probability to Microsoft (MSFT) shares closing the week of March 30 in the $370-$380 range, driven by intraday trading hovering steadily around $373 amid subdued volatility. Shares rebounded sharply from a Monday March 30 close of $358.96—capping Q1 2026's 25% quarterly plunge, the steepest since 2008 amid AI monetization and Copilot adoption worries—to $370.17 on March 31 and $369.37 on April 1, reflecting bargain hunting and technical stabilization near the 52-week low of $344.79. With resolution at today's April 3 market close, only an unforeseen late catalyst triggering a 2-3% swing could disrupt this skin-in-the-game positioning, though 24 million shares traded signal resilient sentiment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour370 $ – 380 $ 98.8%
360 $-370 $ 1.1%
>$410 <1%
$340-$350 <1%
$46,656 Vol.
$46,656 Vol.
<$320
<1%
320 $–330 $
<1%
330 $ - 340 $
<1%
$340-$350
1%
350 $ - 360 $
<1%
360 $-370 $
1%
370 $ – 380 $
99%
$380-$390
<1%
390 $-400 $
<1%
400 $ - 410 $
<1%
>$410
1%
370 $ – 380 $ 98.8%
360 $-370 $ 1.1%
>$410 <1%
$340-$350 <1%
$46,656 Vol.
$46,656 Vol.
<$320
<1%
320 $–330 $
<1%
330 $ - 340 $
<1%
$340-$350
1%
350 $ - 360 $
<1%
360 $-370 $
1%
370 $ – 380 $
99%
$380-$390
<1%
390 $-400 $
<1%
400 $ - 410 $
<1%
>$410
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Marché ouvert : Mar 27, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Source de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99% implied probability to Microsoft (MSFT) shares closing the week of March 30 in the $370-$380 range, driven by intraday trading hovering steadily around $373 amid subdued volatility. Shares rebounded sharply from a Monday March 30 close of $358.96—capping Q1 2026's 25% quarterly plunge, the steepest since 2008 amid AI monetization and Copilot adoption worries—to $370.17 on March 31 and $369.37 on April 1, reflecting bargain hunting and technical stabilization near the 52-week low of $344.79. With resolution at today's April 3 market close, only an unforeseen late catalyst triggering a 2-3% swing could disrupt this skin-in-the-game positioning, though 24 million shares traded signal resilient sentiment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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