Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.6% implied probability to Microsoft (MSFT) shares closing the week of March 30 in the $370-$380 range, reflecting the stock's current trading level around $373—firmly entrenched in that bin—with the Friday settlement imminent on April 3. This positioning stems from a sharp rebound off Monday's $359 close, fueled by ongoing strength in AI infrastructure and cloud revenue growth, alongside rising hedge fund interest and steady trading volume near 30-45 million shares daily. Low implied volatility and no major catalysts ahead underpin the near-certainty, though a broad equity selloff, macroeconomic shock, or unexpected regulatory disclosure could realistically pressure shares outside the range before close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour370 $ – 380 $ 99.6%
>$410 <1%
360 $-370 $ <1%
$340-$350 <1%
$46,799 Vol.
$46,799 Vol.
<$320
<1%
320 $–330 $
<1%
330 $ - 340 $
<1%
$340-$350
<1%
350 $ - 360 $
<1%
360 $-370 $
1%
370 $ – 380 $
100%
$380-$390
<1%
390 $-400 $
<1%
400 $ - 410 $
<1%
>$410
1%
370 $ – 380 $ 99.6%
>$410 <1%
360 $-370 $ <1%
$340-$350 <1%
$46,799 Vol.
$46,799 Vol.
<$320
<1%
320 $–330 $
<1%
330 $ - 340 $
<1%
$340-$350
<1%
350 $ - 360 $
<1%
360 $-370 $
1%
370 $ – 380 $
100%
$380-$390
<1%
390 $-400 $
<1%
400 $ - 410 $
<1%
>$410
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Marché ouvert : Mar 27, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Source de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.6% implied probability to Microsoft (MSFT) shares closing the week of March 30 in the $370-$380 range, reflecting the stock's current trading level around $373—firmly entrenched in that bin—with the Friday settlement imminent on April 3. This positioning stems from a sharp rebound off Monday's $359 close, fueled by ongoing strength in AI infrastructure and cloud revenue growth, alongside rising hedge fund interest and steady trading volume near 30-45 million shares daily. Low implied volatility and no major catalysts ahead underpin the near-certainty, though a broad equity selloff, macroeconomic shock, or unexpected regulatory disclosure could realistically pressure shares outside the range before close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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