Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a strong 87.5% implied probability for Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) to beat Q1 2026 non-GAAP EPS consensus of $2.68, driven by a Zacks Earnings Surprise Prediction (ESP) of +3.91%, signaling recent upward analyst estimate revisions amid robust Innovative Medicine sales momentum from blockbusters like Darzalex. JNJ's Q4 2025 revenue beat of $24.56 billion exceeded forecasts by nearly 200 basis points, with full-year 2026 guidance for $99.5–$100.5 billion in operational sales surpassing Street expectations of $98.9 billion. This reflects sustained mid-single-digit growth and margin resilience, building on a history of frequent earnings beats. Key focus ahead of the April 14 release: quarterly revenue trends and pipeline updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOui
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If Johnson & Johnson releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.)
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Marché ouvert : Mar 30, 2026, 7:54 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Johnson & Johnson releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.)
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Source de résolution
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a strong 87.5% implied probability for Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) to beat Q1 2026 non-GAAP EPS consensus of $2.68, driven by a Zacks Earnings Surprise Prediction (ESP) of +3.91%, signaling recent upward analyst estimate revisions amid robust Innovative Medicine sales momentum from blockbusters like Darzalex. JNJ's Q4 2025 revenue beat of $24.56 billion exceeded forecasts by nearly 200 basis points, with full-year 2026 guidance for $99.5–$100.5 billion in operational sales surpassing Street expectations of $98.9 billion. This reflects sustained mid-single-digit growth and margin resilience, building on a history of frequent earnings beats. Key focus ahead of the April 14 release: quarterly revenue trends and pipeline updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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