SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC around April 1, targeting a June 2026 initial public offering at up to $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise—bolstered by its recent xAI acquisition—has solidified trader consensus for a pre-2027 listing, driving market-implied odds to 95% on Polymarket. This catalyst, highlighted in the All-In Podcast's April 3 discussion of a 2026 IPO explosion, stems from venture capital liquidity demands after Q1's record $267 billion in deals. OpenAI's $122 billion funding at $852 billion valuation and Anthropic's Q4 preparations at $380 billion underscore AI lab competitive dynamics, while upcoming bank syndicate kickoffs on April 6 and geopolitical volatility from Iran tensions pose key risks to timelines.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$5,346,119 Vol.

SpaceX
94%

Cerebras
93%

Discord
62%

WHOOP
49%

Anthropic
44%

OpenAI
39%

Ledger
36%

Deel
35%

Databricks
31%

SHEIN
28%

Applied Intuition
26%

Canva
26%

À distance
23%

Glean
21%

Anduril
21%

Fannie Mae
19%

Ramp
18%

Epic Games
18%

Freddie Mac
17%

ByteDance
17%

Celonis
16%

Vanta
16%

Stripe
16%

Anysphere (Cursor)
16%

Mistral AI
16%

Anduril Industries
14%

Rippling
14%

Ripple Labs
13%

Revolut
12%

Waymo
11%

Brex
10%
$5,346,119 Vol.

SpaceX
94%

Cerebras
93%

Discord
62%

WHOOP
49%

Anthropic
44%

OpenAI
39%

Ledger
36%

Deel
35%

Databricks
31%

SHEIN
28%

Applied Intuition
26%

Canva
26%

À distance
23%

Glean
21%

Anduril
21%

Fannie Mae
19%

Ramp
18%

Epic Games
18%

Freddie Mac
17%

ByteDance
17%

Celonis
16%

Vanta
16%

Stripe
16%

Anysphere (Cursor)
16%

Mistral AI
16%

Anduril Industries
14%

Rippling
14%

Ripple Labs
13%

Revolut
12%

Waymo
11%

Brex
10%
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC around April 1, targeting a June 2026 initial public offering at up to $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise—bolstered by its recent xAI acquisition—has solidified trader consensus for a pre-2027 listing, driving market-implied odds to 95% on Polymarket. This catalyst, highlighted in the All-In Podcast's April 3 discussion of a 2026 IPO explosion, stems from venture capital liquidity demands after Q1's record $267 billion in deals. OpenAI's $122 billion funding at $852 billion valuation and Anthropic's Q4 preparations at $380 billion underscore AI lab competitive dynamics, while upcoming bank syndicate kickoffs on April 6 and geopolitical volatility from Iran tensions pose key risks to timelines.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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