Market icon

Pape avant 2027 ?

Market icon

Pape avant 2027 ?

déc. 31

déc. 31

$5,346,119 Vol.

31 déc. 2026
Polymarket

$5,346,119 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

SpaceX

$462,553 Vol.

94%

Market icon

Cerebras

$279,597 Vol.

93%

Market icon

Discord

$424,372 Vol.

62%

Market icon

WHOOP

$0 Vol.

49%

Market icon

Anthropic

$166,963 Vol.

44%

Market icon

OpenAI

$193,156 Vol.

39%

Market icon

Ledger

$476,585 Vol.

36%

Market icon

Deel

$117,113 Vol.

35%

Market icon

Databricks

$446,919 Vol.

31%

Market icon

SHEIN

$61,218 Vol.

28%

Market icon

Applied Intuition

$179,187 Vol.

26%

Market icon

Canva

$20,122 Vol.

26%

Market icon

À distance

$51,191 Vol.

23%

Market icon

Glean

$42,761 Vol.

21%

Market icon

Anduril

$317,392 Vol.

21%

Market icon

Fannie Mae

$142,182 Vol.

19%

Market icon

Ramp

$138,116 Vol.

18%

Market icon

Epic Games

$66,023 Vol.

18%

Market icon

Freddie Mac

$225,340 Vol.

17%

Market icon

ByteDance

$1,666 Vol.

17%

Market icon

Celonis

$195,274 Vol.

16%

Market icon

Vanta

$112,950 Vol.

16%

Market icon

Stripe

$230,637 Vol.

16%

Market icon

Anysphere (Cursor)

$89,808 Vol.

16%

Market icon

Mistral AI

$131,790 Vol.

16%

Market icon

Anduril Industries

$18,004 Vol.

14%

Market icon

Rippling

$99,059 Vol.

14%

Market icon

Ripple Labs

$133,482 Vol.

13%

Market icon

Revolut

$35,929 Vol.

12%

Market icon

Waymo

$23,059 Vol.

11%

Market icon

Brex

$103,009 Vol.

10%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution. This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC around April 1, targeting a June 2026 initial public offering at up to $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise—bolstered by its recent xAI acquisition—has solidified trader consensus for a pre-2027 listing, driving market-implied odds to 95% on Polymarket. This catalyst, highlighted in the All-In Podcast's April 3 discussion of a 2026 IPO explosion, stems from venture capital liquidity demands after Q1's record $267 billion in deals. OpenAI's $122 billion funding at $852 billion valuation and Anthropic's Q4 preparations at $380 billion underscore AI lab competitive dynamics, while upcoming bank syndicate kickoffs on April 6 and geopolitical volatility from Iran tensions pose key risks to timelines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".

This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$5,346,119
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

Résultat proposé: Oui

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Oui

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution. This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC around April 1, targeting a June 2026 initial public offering at up to $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise—bolstered by its recent xAI acquisition—has solidified trader consensus for a pre-2027 listing, driving market-implied odds to 95% on Polymarket. This catalyst, highlighted in the All-In Podcast's April 3 discussion of a 2026 IPO explosion, stems from venture capital liquidity demands after Q1's record $267 billion in deals. OpenAI's $122 billion funding at $852 billion valuation and Anthropic's Q4 preparations at $380 billion underscore AI lab competitive dynamics, while upcoming bank syndicate kickoffs on April 6 and geopolitical volatility from Iran tensions pose key risks to timelines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".

This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$5,346,119
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

Résultat proposé: Oui

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Pape avant 2027 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 34 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Once Upon a Farm » à 100%, suivi de « Wealthfront » à 100%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Pape avant 2027 ? » a généré $5.3 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Nov 12, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Pape avant 2027 ? », parcourez les 34 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Pape avant 2027 ? » est « Once Upon a Farm » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Wealthfront » à 100%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Pape avant 2027 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.