President Donald Trump has repeatedly threatened to invoke the Insurrection Act since taking office in January 2025, most recently in mid-January 2026 amid protests in Minnesota over Immigration and Customs Enforcement operations that included a fatal shooting by a federal agent. These statements link the rarely used 1807 law to federal efforts at border security and domestic law enforcement in states where local officials have resisted expanded deportations or National Guard deployments. Congressional proposals to narrow presidential authority and require advance consultation or approval remain pending, while Supreme Court rulings on related National Guard cases have left the Act’s scope largely intact. Ongoing immigration enforcement actions and any escalation in related unrest represent the primary near-term catalysts that could trigger formal invocation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLoi sur l'insurrection invoquée par... ?
$1,086,975 Vol.
30 juin
6%
31 décembre
24%
$1,086,975 Vol.
30 juin
6%
31 décembre
24%
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jan 6, 2026, 10:17 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump has repeatedly threatened to invoke the Insurrection Act since taking office in January 2025, most recently in mid-January 2026 amid protests in Minnesota over Immigration and Customs Enforcement operations that included a fatal shooting by a federal agent. These statements link the rarely used 1807 law to federal efforts at border security and domestic law enforcement in states where local officials have resisted expanded deportations or National Guard deployments. Congressional proposals to narrow presidential authority and require advance consultation or approval remain pending, while Supreme Court rulings on related National Guard cases have left the Act’s scope largely intact. Ongoing immigration enforcement actions and any escalation in related unrest represent the primary near-term catalysts that could trigger formal invocation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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