Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 18°C as Wellington's highest temperature on April 17, driven by MetService observational data from the official Kelburn station, where mid-afternoon readings peaked precisely at 18°C amid northwesterly winds and partial cloud cover. This aligns with forecast model consensus from MetService and international sources, which anticipated mild autumn conditions capping highs under strengthening breezes and a chance of afternoon showers, consistent with Wellington's historical April average maximum of around 17°C. Realistic challenges would require an improbable late-day foehn warming burst before sunset, but evening cooling to 14–15°C and low solar angle make exceedance highly unlikely as resolution nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Wellington le 17 avril ?
Température la plus élevée à Wellington le 17 avril ?
18°C 100.0%
11°C ou moins <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$204,881 Vol.
$204,881 Vol.
11°C ou moins
Non
12°C
Non
13°C
Non
14°C
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Oui
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C ou plus
Non
18°C 100.0%
11°C ou moins <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$204,881 Vol.
$204,881 Vol.
11°C ou moins
Non
12°C
Non
13°C
Non
14°C
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Oui
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C ou plus
Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 18°C as Wellington's highest temperature on April 17, driven by MetService observational data from the official Kelburn station, where mid-afternoon readings peaked precisely at 18°C amid northwesterly winds and partial cloud cover. This aligns with forecast model consensus from MetService and international sources, which anticipated mild autumn conditions capping highs under strengthening breezes and a chance of afternoon showers, consistent with Wellington's historical April average maximum of around 17°C. Realistic challenges would require an improbable late-day foehn warming burst before sunset, but evening cooling to 14–15°C and low solar angle make exceedance highly unlikely as resolution nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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