Official observations from Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) and Warsaw Chopin Airport meteorological station confirm the highest temperature in Warsaw on April 16 reached exactly 15°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome as traders' positions resolved accordingly. This aligns with pre-event consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, which clustered maximums around 15.5°C amid a cool northerly air mass, partial cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, and seasonal norms for mid-April highs near 13-14°C. Realistic challenges to this positioning would require rare post hoc data revisions from quality assurance processes, though initial synoptic reports show strong agreement across monitoring sites, underscoring the reliability of these ground-truth measurements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 16 avril ?
La température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 16 avril ?
15°C 100.0%
10°C ou moins <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$66,336 Vol.
$66,336 Vol.
16 avr. 2026
10°C ou moins
Non
11°C
Non
12°C
Non
13°C
Non
14°C
Non
15°C
Oui
16°C
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C ou plus
Non
15°C 100.0%
10°C ou moins <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$66,336 Vol.
$66,336 Vol.
16 avr. 2026
10°C ou moins
$2,845 Vol.
Non
11°C
$2,176 Vol.
Non
12°C
$3,855 Vol.
Non
13°C
$8,578 Vol.
Non
14°C
$9,090 Vol.
Non
15°C
$12,021 Vol.
Oui
16°C
$8,383 Vol.
Non
17°C
$9,383 Vol.
Non
18°C
$4,862 Vol.
Non
19°C
$1,907 Vol.
Non
20°C ou plus
$3,236 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) and Warsaw Chopin Airport meteorological station confirm the highest temperature in Warsaw on April 16 reached exactly 15°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome as traders' positions resolved accordingly. This aligns with pre-event consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, which clustered maximums around 15.5°C amid a cool northerly air mass, partial cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, and seasonal norms for mid-April highs near 13-14°C. Realistic challenges to this positioning would require rare post hoc data revisions from quality assurance processes, though initial synoptic reports show strong agreement across monitoring sites, underscoring the reliability of these ground-truth measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 14, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Volume
$66,336Date de fin
16 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:14 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) and Warsaw Chopin Airport meteorological station confirm the highest temperature in Warsaw on April 16 reached exactly 15°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome as traders' positions resolved accordingly. This aligns with pre-event consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, which clustered maximums around 15.5°C amid a cool northerly air mass, partial cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, and seasonal norms for mid-April highs near 13-14°C. Realistic challenges to this positioning would require rare post hoc data revisions from quality assurance processes, though initial synoptic reports show strong agreement across monitoring sites, underscoring the reliability of these ground-truth measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$66,336Date de fin
16 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:14 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Official observations from Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) and Warsaw Chopin Airport meteorological station confirm the highest temperature in Warsaw on April 16 reached exactly 15°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome as traders' positions resolved accordingly. This aligns with pre-event consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, which clustered maximums around 15.5°C amid a cool northerly air mass, partial cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, and seasonal norms for mid-April highs near 13-14°C. Realistic challenges to this positioning would require rare post hoc data revisions from quality assurance processes, though initial synoptic reports show strong agreement across monitoring sites, underscoring the reliability of these ground-truth measurements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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