Traders' overwhelming consensus assigning 100% implied probability to a 30°C high temperature in Singapore on April 12 stems from National Environment Agency (NEA) real-time observations capturing peak readings at that level across stations, suppressed by widespread thundery showers over northern, eastern, and central regions during inter-monsoon conditions. Morning data showed maxima around 29-30°C with minimal clearing, aligning below the NEA's fortnightly forecast range of 33-35°C due to cloudy skies and rainfall totaling 0.2 mm early. April climatology typically sees daily highs of 31-33°C, but rainy precedents like 29.2°C on April 12, 2024, reinforce this positioning. Upside risks include late-afternoon sun breaks enabling brief spikes at outlying sites like Sembawang, though evening showers limit potential; NEA's final daily records will resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Singapore on April 12?
Highest temperature in Singapore on April 12?
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$96,802 Vol.
$96,802 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$96,802 Vol.
$96,802 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
25°C or below
$1,457 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,262 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,337 Vol.
No
28°C
$6,465 Vol.
No
29°C
$12,737 Vol.
No
30°C
$25,938 Vol.
Yes
31°C
$11,010 Vol.
No
32°C
$10,853 Vol.
No
33°C
$10,038 Vol.
No
34°C
$6,920 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$8,786 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders' overwhelming consensus assigning 100% implied probability to a 30°C high temperature in Singapore on April 12 stems from National Environment Agency (NEA) real-time observations capturing peak readings at that level across stations, suppressed by widespread thundery showers over northern, eastern, and central regions during inter-monsoon conditions. Morning data showed maxima around 29-30°C with minimal clearing, aligning below the NEA's fortnightly forecast range of 33-35°C due to cloudy skies and rainfall totaling 0.2 mm early. April climatology typically sees daily highs of 31-33°C, but rainy precedents like 29.2°C on April 12, 2024, reinforce this positioning. Upside risks include late-afternoon sun breaks enabling brief spikes at outlying sites like Sembawang, though evening showers limit potential; NEA's final daily records will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$96,802Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders' overwhelming consensus assigning 100% implied probability to a 30°C high temperature in Singapore on April 12 stems from National Environment Agency (NEA) real-time observations capturing peak readings at that level across stations, suppressed by widespread thundery showers over northern, eastern, and central regions during inter-monsoon conditions. Morning data showed maxima around 29-30°C with minimal clearing, aligning below the NEA's fortnightly forecast range of 33-35°C due to cloudy skies and rainfall totaling 0.2 mm early. April climatology typically sees daily highs of 31-33°C, but rainy precedents like 29.2°C on April 12, 2024, reinforce this positioning. Upside risks include late-afternoon sun breaks enabling brief spikes at outlying sites like Sembawang, though evening showers limit potential; NEA's final daily records will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$96,802Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Traders' overwhelming consensus assigning 100% implied probability to a 30°C high temperature in Singapore on April 12 stems from National Environment Agency (NEA) real-time observations capturing peak readings at that level across stations, suppressed by widespread thundery showers over northern, eastern, and central regions during inter-monsoon conditions. Morning data showed maxima around 29-30°C with minimal clearing, aligning below the NEA's fortnightly forecast range of 33-35°C due to cloudy skies and rainfall totaling 0.2 mm early. April climatology typically sees daily highs of 31-33°C, but rainy precedents like 29.2°C on April 12, 2024, reinforce this positioning. Upside risks include late-afternoon sun breaks enabling brief spikes at outlying sites like Sembawang, though evening showers limit potential; NEA's final daily records will resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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