National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco International Airport (KSFO)—the market's resolution station—call for a high near 71°F today under mostly sunny skies with light west winds developing in the afternoon, anchoring the 96.5% market-implied probability for 68°F or higher. This positioning reflects consensus across major forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which show a stable high-pressure ridge promoting efficient daytime heating following yesterday's observed 70°F peak, with minimal marine layer intrusion early this morning from lows near 50°F. Trader sentiment dismisses cooler outcomes given historical April averages around 64°F but current climatological favorability. Realistic challenges include unexpected coastal stratus thickening or stronger onshore flow delaying peak warming, though official hourly observations through late afternoon will clarify as the resolution window nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 18 avril ?
La température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 18 avril ?
68°F or higher 95.8%
66-67°F 2.1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$33,333 Vol.
$33,333 Vol.
18 avr. 2026
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
2%
68°F or higher
96%
68°F or higher 95.8%
66-67°F 2.1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$33,333 Vol.
$33,333 Vol.
18 avr. 2026
56-57°F
$2,885 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$1,991 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$3,763 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$3,342 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$3,756 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$3,593 Vol.
2%
68°F or higher
$5,810 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco International Airport (KSFO)—the market's resolution station—call for a high near 71°F today under mostly sunny skies with light west winds developing in the afternoon, anchoring the 96.5% market-implied probability for 68°F or higher. This positioning reflects consensus across major forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which show a stable high-pressure ridge promoting efficient daytime heating following yesterday's observed 70°F peak, with minimal marine layer intrusion early this morning from lows near 50°F. Trader sentiment dismisses cooler outcomes given historical April averages around 64°F but current climatological favorability. Realistic challenges include unexpected coastal stratus thickening or stronger onshore flow delaying peak warming, though official hourly observations through late afternoon will clarify as the resolution window nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Volume
$33,333Date de fin
18 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Fenêtre de contestation
Final
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco International Airport (KSFO)—the market's resolution station—call for a high near 71°F today under mostly sunny skies with light west winds developing in the afternoon, anchoring the 96.5% market-implied probability for 68°F or higher. This positioning reflects consensus across major forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which show a stable high-pressure ridge promoting efficient daytime heating following yesterday's observed 70°F peak, with minimal marine layer intrusion early this morning from lows near 50°F. Trader sentiment dismisses cooler outcomes given historical April averages around 64°F but current climatological favorability. Realistic challenges include unexpected coastal stratus thickening or stronger onshore flow delaying peak warming, though official hourly observations through late afternoon will clarify as the resolution window nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$33,333Date de fin
18 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Fenêtre de contestation
Final
National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco International Airport (KSFO)—the market's resolution station—call for a high near 71°F today under mostly sunny skies with light west winds developing in the afternoon, anchoring the 96.5% market-implied probability for 68°F or higher. This positioning reflects consensus across major forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which show a stable high-pressure ridge promoting efficient daytime heating following yesterday's observed 70°F peak, with minimal marine layer intrusion early this morning from lows near 50°F. Trader sentiment dismisses cooler outcomes given historical April averages around 64°F but current climatological favorability. Realistic challenges include unexpected coastal stratus thickening or stronger onshore flow delaying peak warming, though official hourly observations through late afternoon will clarify as the resolution window nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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