Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 68-69°F as the highest temperature at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on April 16, 2026, with 100% implied probability backed by official National Weather Service observations confirming a daily maximum in that range. This positioning stems from persistent marine layer stratus clouds, advected onshore by light westerly winds from the Pacific, which capped solar insolation and limited convective heating despite typical April highs averaging 72°F. NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard hourly data showed afternoon peaks around 67-69°F under partly cloudy skies, aligning with pre-event model consensus. Scenarios challenging this—like early cloud burn-off or stronger Santa Ana winds—failed to materialize, solidifying the outcome amid inherent forecast uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Los Angeles le 16 avril ?
La température la plus élevée à Los Angeles le 16 avril ?
68-69°F 100.0%
55°F ou moins <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59 °F <1%
$85,911 Vol.
$85,911 Vol.
55°F ou moins
Non
56-57°F
Non
58-59 °F
Non
60-61°F
Non
62-63°F
Non
64-65°F
Non
66-67°F
Non
68-69°F
Oui
70-71°F
Non
72-73°F
Non
74°F ou plus
Non
68-69°F 100.0%
55°F ou moins <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59 °F <1%
$85,911 Vol.
$85,911 Vol.
55°F ou moins
Non
56-57°F
Non
58-59 °F
Non
60-61°F
Non
62-63°F
Non
64-65°F
Non
66-67°F
Non
68-69°F
Oui
70-71°F
Non
72-73°F
Non
74°F ou plus
Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 68-69°F as the highest temperature at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on April 16, 2026, with 100% implied probability backed by official National Weather Service observations confirming a daily maximum in that range. This positioning stems from persistent marine layer stratus clouds, advected onshore by light westerly winds from the Pacific, which capped solar insolation and limited convective heating despite typical April highs averaging 72°F. NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard hourly data showed afternoon peaks around 67-69°F under partly cloudy skies, aligning with pre-event model consensus. Scenarios challenging this—like early cloud burn-off or stronger Santa Ana winds—failed to materialize, solidifying the outcome amid inherent forecast uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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