National Weather Service forecasts from the Houston/Galveston office project highs of 79-82°F across the metro area today, including at key observing sites like Hobby (KHOU) and Intercontinental (KIAH) airports, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 74°F or higher as trader consensus reflects this locked-in outlook backed by real capital. Current observations already show mid-morning temperatures reaching 76-77°F under overcast skies with southeasterly winds and high humidity, supported by building high pressure from the east that favors warm advection despite 20-60% scattered shower and thunderstorm chances. Model consensus indicates minimal cooling risk, aligning with April climatological norms around 79°F. Only an improbable widespread severe storm outbreak with persistent heavy rain and evaporative cooling could challenge this, though Storm Prediction Center assesses just marginal risk; track hourly ASOS data through sunset at 7:46 PM CDT for final resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Houston on April 12?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 12?
74°F or higher 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$43,751 Vol.
$43,751 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
Yes
74°F or higher 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$43,751 Vol.
$43,751 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
55°F or below
$8,966 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$2,264 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$2,816 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$2,561 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$2,430 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$6,403 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$2,456 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$3,367 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$2,465 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$3,270 Vol.
No
74°F or higher
$6,754 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts from the Houston/Galveston office project highs of 79-82°F across the metro area today, including at key observing sites like Hobby (KHOU) and Intercontinental (KIAH) airports, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 74°F or higher as trader consensus reflects this locked-in outlook backed by real capital. Current observations already show mid-morning temperatures reaching 76-77°F under overcast skies with southeasterly winds and high humidity, supported by building high pressure from the east that favors warm advection despite 20-60% scattered shower and thunderstorm chances. Model consensus indicates minimal cooling risk, aligning with April climatological norms around 79°F. Only an improbable widespread severe storm outbreak with persistent heavy rain and evaporative cooling could challenge this, though Storm Prediction Center assesses just marginal risk; track hourly ASOS data through sunset at 7:46 PM CDT for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 8, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Volume
$43,751Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 12:37 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts from the Houston/Galveston office project highs of 79-82°F across the metro area today, including at key observing sites like Hobby (KHOU) and Intercontinental (KIAH) airports, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 74°F or higher as trader consensus reflects this locked-in outlook backed by real capital. Current observations already show mid-morning temperatures reaching 76-77°F under overcast skies with southeasterly winds and high humidity, supported by building high pressure from the east that favors warm advection despite 20-60% scattered shower and thunderstorm chances. Model consensus indicates minimal cooling risk, aligning with April climatological norms around 79°F. Only an improbable widespread severe storm outbreak with persistent heavy rain and evaporative cooling could challenge this, though Storm Prediction Center assesses just marginal risk; track hourly ASOS data through sunset at 7:46 PM CDT for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$43,751Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 12:37 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
National Weather Service forecasts from the Houston/Galveston office project highs of 79-82°F across the metro area today, including at key observing sites like Hobby (KHOU) and Intercontinental (KIAH) airports, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 74°F or higher as trader consensus reflects this locked-in outlook backed by real capital. Current observations already show mid-morning temperatures reaching 76-77°F under overcast skies with southeasterly winds and high humidity, supported by building high pressure from the east that favors warm advection despite 20-60% scattered shower and thunderstorm chances. Model consensus indicates minimal cooling risk, aligning with April climatological norms around 79°F. Only an improbable widespread severe storm outbreak with persistent heavy rain and evaporative cooling could challenge this, though Storm Prediction Center assesses just marginal risk; track hourly ASOS data through sunset at 7:46 PM CDT for final resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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