Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 17°C (99.7% implied probability) as Cape Town's highest temperature today, driven by South African Weather Service (SAWS) observations at Cape Town International Airport (FACT) and updated forecasts showing a daily peak of 17°C amid a cold front's passage. This system has delivered cloudy skies, scattered showers, light to moderate north-westerly winds, and suppressed daytime heating well below April's climatological average high of 22–23°C. Recent SAWS advisories highlight persistent cold, wet, and windy conditions across the Western Cape through Monday, solidifying model consensus from yesterday's runs. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing brief solar warming to 18°C, though ongoing precipitation and cloud cover render this improbable; final FACT measurements will resolve the market by evening.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Cape Town on April 18?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 18?
17°C 99.7%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$30,498 Vol.
$30,498 Vol.
18 avr. 2026
17°C
100%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
17°C 99.7%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$30,498 Vol.
$30,498 Vol.
18 avr. 2026
17°C
$3,802 Vol.
100%
18°C
$2,108 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$3,888 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,592 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,447 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,067 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$1,779 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 17°C (99.7% implied probability) as Cape Town's highest temperature today, driven by South African Weather Service (SAWS) observations at Cape Town International Airport (FACT) and updated forecasts showing a daily peak of 17°C amid a cold front's passage. This system has delivered cloudy skies, scattered showers, light to moderate north-westerly winds, and suppressed daytime heating well below April's climatological average high of 22–23°C. Recent SAWS advisories highlight persistent cold, wet, and windy conditions across the Western Cape through Monday, solidifying model consensus from yesterday's runs. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing brief solar warming to 18°C, though ongoing precipitation and cloud cover render this improbable; final FACT measurements will resolve the market by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 16, 2026, 2:04 AM ET
Volume
$30,498Date de fin
18 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 2:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 17°C (99.7% implied probability) as Cape Town's highest temperature today, driven by South African Weather Service (SAWS) observations at Cape Town International Airport (FACT) and updated forecasts showing a daily peak of 17°C amid a cold front's passage. This system has delivered cloudy skies, scattered showers, light to moderate north-westerly winds, and suppressed daytime heating well below April's climatological average high of 22–23°C. Recent SAWS advisories highlight persistent cold, wet, and windy conditions across the Western Cape through Monday, solidifying model consensus from yesterday's runs. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing brief solar warming to 18°C, though ongoing precipitation and cloud cover render this improbable; final FACT measurements will resolve the market by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$30,498Date de fin
18 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 2:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 17°C (99.7% implied probability) as Cape Town's highest temperature today, driven by South African Weather Service (SAWS) observations at Cape Town International Airport (FACT) and updated forecasts showing a daily peak of 17°C amid a cold front's passage. This system has delivered cloudy skies, scattered showers, light to moderate north-westerly winds, and suppressed daytime heating well below April's climatological average high of 22–23°C. Recent SAWS advisories highlight persistent cold, wet, and windy conditions across the Western Cape through Monday, solidifying model consensus from yesterday's runs. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing brief solar warming to 18°C, though ongoing precipitation and cloud cover render this improbable; final FACT measurements will resolve the market by evening.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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