Turkey's dramatic 1-0 victory over Kosovo in the UEFA World Cup playoff final on March 31 has solidified the European contender's status in Group D, propelling its implied probability to 38.5% and keeping the race neck-and-neck with host USA at 40%. USMNT traders cite home advantage across North American venues, including opener versus Paraguay at SoFi Stadium on June 12, plus depth from Pulisic and McKennie amid solid Nations League form. Paraguay's gritty CONMEBOL qualification and physical edge add upset potential at 16%, while Australia's inconsistent AFC campaign trails at 7.5%. Balanced talent, stylistic clashes, and draw risks in a compact group fuel the tight trader consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourÉtats-Unis 39%
KOS/ROU/SVK/TUR 39%
Paraguay 16%
Australie 8.0%
$15,459 Vol.
$15,459 Vol.
États-Unis
39%
KOS/ROU/SVK/TUR
39%
Paraguay
16%
Australie
8%
États-Unis 39%
KOS/ROU/SVK/TUR 39%
Paraguay 16%
Australie 8.0%
$15,459 Vol.
$15,459 Vol.
États-Unis
39%
KOS/ROU/SVK/TUR
39%
Paraguay
16%
Australie
8%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Turkey's dramatic 1-0 victory over Kosovo in the UEFA World Cup playoff final on March 31 has solidified the European contender's status in Group D, propelling its implied probability to 38.5% and keeping the race neck-and-neck with host USA at 40%. USMNT traders cite home advantage across North American venues, including opener versus Paraguay at SoFi Stadium on June 12, plus depth from Pulisic and McKennie amid solid Nations League form. Paraguay's gritty CONMEBOL qualification and physical edge add upset potential at 16%, while Australia's inconsistent AFC campaign trails at 7.5%. Balanced talent, stylistic clashes, and draw risks in a compact group fuel the tight trader consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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