Trader consensus prices a tightly contested Group D at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with the United States holding a narrow implied-probability edge over Türkiye. The co-hosts benefit from home-soil familiarity and recent friendly results against the other three sides, yet Türkiye’s momentum from ending a 24-year absence via playoff wins, combined with attacking depth featuring talents such as Guler and Çalhanoğlu, keeps the race close. Paraguay’s compact defensive structure and transition threats maintain realistic advancement hopes, while Australia’s squad depth offers upset potential despite trailing the top two. Recent previews underscore an even matchup with no dominant side.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÉtats-Unis 40%
Turquie 36%
Paraguay 18%
Australie 9.0%
$52,575 Vol.
$52,575 Vol.
États-Unis
40%
Turquie
36%
Paraguay
18%
Australie
9%
États-Unis 40%
Turquie 36%
Paraguay 18%
Australie 9.0%
$52,575 Vol.
$52,575 Vol.
États-Unis
40%
Turquie
36%
Paraguay
18%
Australie
9%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices a tightly contested Group D at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with the United States holding a narrow implied-probability edge over Türkiye. The co-hosts benefit from home-soil familiarity and recent friendly results against the other three sides, yet Türkiye’s momentum from ending a 24-year absence via playoff wins, combined with attacking depth featuring talents such as Guler and Çalhanoğlu, keeps the race close. Paraguay’s compact defensive structure and transition threats maintain realistic advancement hopes, while Australia’s squad depth offers upset potential despite trailing the top two. Recent previews underscore an even matchup with no dominant side.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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