Mercedes enters the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship as the clear trader consensus favorite at 75% implied probability, fueled by their late-2024 surge with consistent podium challenges and upgrades enhancing aero efficiency and power unit reliability in races like Las Vegas, Qatar, and Abu Dhabi. Red Bull's second-half slump, exacerbated by Sergio Perez's underperformance and reliability woes, has eroded their dominance, dropping them to 2.3%, while McLaren's strong duo of Norris and Piastri holds steady at 4.5% amid concerns over sustaining peak form. Ferrari, at 14%, benefits from Lewis Hamilton's arrival alongside Leclerc but faces integration risks and recent qualifying inconsistencies; lower tiers reflect expansion teams like Cadillac and Audi's unproven machinery ahead of the Bahrain opener.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourMercedes 78%
Ferrari 14%
McLaren 3.7%
Red Bull Racing 2.1%
$7,335,705 Vol.
$7,335,705 Vol.
Dec 6, 2026
Mercedes
78%
Ferrari
14%
McLaren
4%
Red Bull Racing
2%
Cadillac
1%
Racing Bulls
1%
Haas
1%
Alpine
1%
Williams
<1%
Aston Martin
<1%
Audi
<1%
Mercedes 78%
Ferrari 14%
McLaren 3.7%
Red Bull Racing 2.1%
$7,335,705 Vol.
$7,335,705 Vol.
Dec 6, 2026
Mercedes
$494,290 Vol.
78%
Ferrari
$241,361 Vol.
14%
McLaren
$972,256 Vol.
4%
Red Bull Racing
$375,980 Vol.
2%
Cadillac
$904,360 Vol.
1%
Racing Bulls
$781,621 Vol.
1%
Haas
$921,272 Vol.
1%
Alpine
$880,789 Vol.
1%
Williams
$788,897 Vol.
<1%
Aston Martin
$513,222 Vol.
<1%
Audi
$461,726 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes enters the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship as the clear trader consensus favorite at 75% implied probability, fueled by their late-2024 surge with consistent podium challenges and upgrades enhancing aero efficiency and power unit reliability in races like Las Vegas, Qatar, and Abu Dhabi. Red Bull's second-half slump, exacerbated by Sergio Perez's underperformance and reliability woes, has eroded their dominance, dropping them to 2.3%, while McLaren's strong duo of Norris and Piastri holds steady at 4.5% amid concerns over sustaining peak form. Ferrari, at 14%, benefits from Lewis Hamilton's arrival alongside Leclerc but faces integration risks and recent qualifying inconsistencies; lower tiers reflect expansion teams like Cadillac and Audi's unproven machinery ahead of the Bahrain opener.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Marché ouvert : Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Volume
$7,335,705Date de fin
Dec 6, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes enters the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship as the clear trader consensus favorite at 75% implied probability, fueled by their late-2024 surge with consistent podium challenges and upgrades enhancing aero efficiency and power unit reliability in races like Las Vegas, Qatar, and Abu Dhabi. Red Bull's second-half slump, exacerbated by Sergio Perez's underperformance and reliability woes, has eroded their dominance, dropping them to 2.3%, while McLaren's strong duo of Norris and Piastri holds steady at 4.5% amid concerns over sustaining peak form. Ferrari, at 14%, benefits from Lewis Hamilton's arrival alongside Leclerc but faces integration risks and recent qualifying inconsistencies; lower tiers reflect expansion teams like Cadillac and Audi's unproven machinery ahead of the Bahrain opener.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Volume
$7,335,705Date de fin
Dec 6, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes enters the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship as the clear trader consensus favorite at 75% implied probability, fueled by their late-2024 surge with consistent podium challenges and upgrades enhancing aero efficiency and power unit reliability in races like Las Vegas, Qatar, and Abu Dhabi. Red Bull's second-half slump, exacerbated by Sergio Perez's underperformance and reliability woes, has eroded their dominance, dropping them to 2.3%, while McLaren's strong duo of Norris and Piastri holds steady at 4.5% amid concerns over sustaining peak form. Ferrari, at 14%, benefits from Lewis Hamilton's arrival alongside Leclerc but faces integration risks and recent qualifying inconsistencies; lower tiers reflect expansion teams like Cadillac and Audi's unproven machinery ahead of the Bahrain opener.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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