Mercedes holds an commanding 98-67 points lead in the Constructors' Championship after strong showings in the Australian and Chinese Grands Prix, where George Russell and rookie Andrea Kimi Antonelli delivered a 1-2 finish in China following Russell's sprint win, bolstering trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability. Ferrari trails in second with Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton contributing solid podiums but lacking Mercedes' superior energy management and power unit edge under 2026 regulations. McLaren's 3.9% reflects third place on 18 points amid development struggles, while Red Bull's midfield pace caps them at 1.5%; newcomers like Cadillac and Audi languish pointless. Recent Japanese GP practice sessions saw Mercedes top the timesheets again, extending frontrunner sentiment despite the long season ahead.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourMercedes 79%
Ferrari 13%
McLaren 3.9%
Red Bull Racing 1.5%
$7,703,242 Vol.
$7,703,242 Vol.

Mercedes
79%

Ferrari
13%

McLaren
4%

Red Bull Racing
2%

Williams
1%

Cadillac
1%

Racing Bulls
1%

Haas
1%

Alpine
1%

Aston Martin
<1%

Audi
<1%
Mercedes 79%
Ferrari 13%
McLaren 3.9%
Red Bull Racing 1.5%
$7,703,242 Vol.
$7,703,242 Vol.

Mercedes
79%

Ferrari
13%

McLaren
4%

Red Bull Racing
2%

Williams
1%

Cadillac
1%

Racing Bulls
1%

Haas
1%

Alpine
1%

Aston Martin
<1%

Audi
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Marché ouvert : Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes holds an commanding 98-67 points lead in the Constructors' Championship after strong showings in the Australian and Chinese Grands Prix, where George Russell and rookie Andrea Kimi Antonelli delivered a 1-2 finish in China following Russell's sprint win, bolstering trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability. Ferrari trails in second with Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton contributing solid podiums but lacking Mercedes' superior energy management and power unit edge under 2026 regulations. McLaren's 3.9% reflects third place on 18 points amid development struggles, while Red Bull's midfield pace caps them at 1.5%; newcomers like Cadillac and Audi languish pointless. Recent Japanese GP practice sessions saw Mercedes top the timesheets again, extending frontrunner sentiment despite the long season ahead.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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