Mercedes holds a commanding lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship with 98 points after back-to-back dominant performances in the Australian and Chinese Grands Prix, where George Russell and Kimi Antonelli delivered a 1-2 finish in Australia—outpacing Ferrari early via superior power unit extraction and race pace—and Antonelli's victory in China widened the gap to 31 points over Ferrari's 67. The new regulations emphasizing sustainable fuels and active aerodynamics have played to Mercedes' strengths in chassis handling and engine reliability, reflected in trader consensus pricing their title odds at 75.5% implied probability. Ferrari remains the primary challenger with consistent podiums from Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton, but qualifying and race pace deficits of around 0.6 seconds keep them at 16%, while McLaren and Red Bull lag amid reliability issues and development shortfalls ahead of the Japanese Grand Prix at Suzuka.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourMercedes 76%
Ferrari 16%
McLaren 3.5%
Red Bull Racing 2.1%
$7,395,649 Vol.
$7,395,649 Vol.

Mercedes
76%

Ferrari
16%

McLaren
3%

Red Bull Racing
2%

Cadillac
1%

Racing Bulls
1%

Haas
1%

Alpine
1%

Williams
<1%

Aston Martin
<1%

Audi
<1%
Mercedes 76%
Ferrari 16%
McLaren 3.5%
Red Bull Racing 2.1%
$7,395,649 Vol.
$7,395,649 Vol.

Mercedes
76%

Ferrari
16%

McLaren
3%

Red Bull Racing
2%

Cadillac
1%

Racing Bulls
1%

Haas
1%

Alpine
1%

Williams
<1%

Aston Martin
<1%

Audi
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Marché ouvert : Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes holds a commanding lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship with 98 points after back-to-back dominant performances in the Australian and Chinese Grands Prix, where George Russell and Kimi Antonelli delivered a 1-2 finish in Australia—outpacing Ferrari early via superior power unit extraction and race pace—and Antonelli's victory in China widened the gap to 31 points over Ferrari's 67. The new regulations emphasizing sustainable fuels and active aerodynamics have played to Mercedes' strengths in chassis handling and engine reliability, reflected in trader consensus pricing their title odds at 75.5% implied probability. Ferrari remains the primary challenger with consistent podiums from Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton, but qualifying and race pace deficits of around 0.6 seconds keep them at 16%, while McLaren and Red Bull lag amid reliability issues and development shortfalls ahead of the Japanese Grand Prix at Suzuka.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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