Eurovision 2026's host nation hinges on the winner of the 2025 contest in Basel, Switzerland (May 8-10), with national selections not expected until late 2025 and the event likely in May 2026. Absent recent announcements, trader sentiment draws from historical patterns: Sweden's seven victories and consistent top-10 finishes, Ukraine's televote dominance, Italy's melodic appeal, and Big Five advantages for France, Germany, Italy, Spain, and the UK. Jury-public voting splits (50/50) amplify diaspora blocs from Australia and Azerbaijan. Watch 2025 results for early signals on hosting perks and momentum shifts in this unpredictable pop spectacle.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourEurovision 2026: Top 10
Eurovision 2026: Top 10
$101,598 Vol.

Finland
89%

Israel
85%

Greece
79%

Sweden
76%

Denmark
76%

France
74%

Ukraine
73%

Australia
72%

Italy
65%

Romania
44%

Moldova
39%

Czechia
38%

Cyprus
36%

Bulgaria
41%

Latvia
32%

Malta
30%

Croatia
26%

Norway
20%

Albania
18%

United Kingdom
18%

Luxembourg
17%

Armenia
16%

Lithuania
15%

Serbia
15%

Switzerland
13%

Portugal
13%

Germany
12%

Poland
12%

Belgium
12%

Montenegro
12%

Georgia
11%

Azerbaijan
9%

Estonia
7%

San Marino
7%

Austria
5%
$101,598 Vol.

Finland
89%

Israel
85%

Greece
79%

Sweden
76%

Denmark
76%

France
74%

Ukraine
73%

Australia
72%

Italy
65%

Romania
44%

Moldova
39%

Czechia
38%

Cyprus
36%

Bulgaria
41%

Latvia
32%

Malta
30%

Croatia
26%

Norway
20%

Albania
18%

United Kingdom
18%

Luxembourg
17%

Armenia
16%

Lithuania
15%

Serbia
15%

Switzerland
13%

Portugal
13%

Germany
12%

Poland
12%

Belgium
12%

Montenegro
12%

Georgia
11%

Azerbaijan
9%

Estonia
7%

San Marino
7%

Austria
5%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Marché ouvert : Mar 9, 2026, 5:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Eurovision 2026's host nation hinges on the winner of the 2025 contest in Basel, Switzerland (May 8-10), with national selections not expected until late 2025 and the event likely in May 2026. Absent recent announcements, trader sentiment draws from historical patterns: Sweden's seven victories and consistent top-10 finishes, Ukraine's televote dominance, Italy's melodic appeal, and Big Five advantages for France, Germany, Italy, Spain, and the UK. Jury-public voting splits (50/50) amplify diaspora blocs from Australia and Azerbaijan. Watch 2025 results for early signals on hosting perks and momentum shifts in this unpredictable pop spectacle.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes