Trader consensus positions Israel as the clear frontrunner for Eurovision 2026 televote winner at 34% implied probability, driven by Eden Golan's dominant 2024 public vote triumph—securing the highest televote score amid controversy, fueled by expansive diaspora support and fan mobilization. Greece follows at 18.5%, leveraging consistent fanbase strength and regional enthusiasm, while Finland's 11.5% reflects Käärijä's lingering 2023 televote runner-up momentum from "Cha Cha Cha." Lower contenders like France and Sweden highlight historical televote patterns, but the fragmented field underscores early uncertainty, as national selections won't begin until after the 2025 Basel contest, with breakout entries and streaming buzz poised to reshape dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourEurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Israel 34%
Greece 18%
Finland 11%
France 6.0%
$2,443,037 Vol.
$2,443,037 Vol.

Israel
34%

Greece
18%

Finland
11%

France
6%

Sweden
5%

Moldova
5%

Denmark
5%

Ukraine
3%

Germany
2%

Cyprus
2%

Bulgaria
2%

Italy
2%

Montenegro
2%

Switzerland
1%

Australia
1%

Luxembourg
1%

Malta
1%

Romania
1%

Belgium
1%

Estonia
1%

Poland
1%

Croatia
1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Norway
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Azerbaijan
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Georgia
<1%

San Marino
<1%
Israel 34%
Greece 18%
Finland 11%
France 6.0%
$2,443,037 Vol.
$2,443,037 Vol.

Israel
34%

Greece
18%

Finland
11%

France
6%

Sweden
5%

Moldova
5%

Denmark
5%

Ukraine
3%

Germany
2%

Cyprus
2%

Bulgaria
2%

Italy
2%

Montenegro
2%

Switzerland
1%

Australia
1%

Luxembourg
1%

Malta
1%

Romania
1%

Belgium
1%

Estonia
1%

Poland
1%

Croatia
1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Norway
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Azerbaijan
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Georgia
<1%

San Marino
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Marché ouvert : Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus positions Israel as the clear frontrunner for Eurovision 2026 televote winner at 34% implied probability, driven by Eden Golan's dominant 2024 public vote triumph—securing the highest televote score amid controversy, fueled by expansive diaspora support and fan mobilization. Greece follows at 18.5%, leveraging consistent fanbase strength and regional enthusiasm, while Finland's 11.5% reflects Käärijä's lingering 2023 televote runner-up momentum from "Cha Cha Cha." Lower contenders like France and Sweden highlight historical televote patterns, but the fragmented field underscores early uncertainty, as national selections won't begin until after the 2025 Basel contest, with breakout entries and streaming buzz poised to reshape dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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