Israel leads the Eurovision 2026 televote winner market at 35.5% implied probability, propelled by Noam Bettan's "Michelle"—a multilingual Hebrew-French-English "toxic love" ballad unveiled March 5 amid strong social media buzz and Israel's historical televote strength from recent contests. Greece follows at 17.5% after Akylas's "Ferto" exploded on Spotify virals post its February national final victory, fueling diaspora and pan-European hype. Finland's 11.5% reflects the spectacle of Linda Lampenius x Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," featuring violin and live flamethrower from its late-February UMK win, though traders see it more jury-friendly. France's fresh "Regarde!" by Monroe, dropped March 6, holds 8.5% on chic Parisian staging. With Vienna semis in May, national final momentum and streaming trajectories will drive further shifts in this volatile trader consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourEurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Israel 36%
Greece 18%
Finland 12%
France 8.4%
$3,950,020 Vol.
$3,950,020 Vol.

Israel
36%

Greece
18%

Finland
12%

France
8%

Denmark
4%

Moldova
3%

Sweden
3%

Ukraine
3%

Romania
1%

Italy
1%

Cyprus
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Germany
1%

Poland
1%

Malta
1%

Switzerland
1%

Luxembourg
1%

San Marino
1%

Austria
1%

Montenegro
1%

Croatia
1%

Estonia
1%

Australia
1%

Belgium
1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Azerbaijan
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Albania
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Norway
<1%

Armenia
<1%
Israel 36%
Greece 18%
Finland 12%
France 8.4%
$3,950,020 Vol.
$3,950,020 Vol.

Israel
36%

Greece
18%

Finland
12%

France
8%

Denmark
4%

Moldova
3%

Sweden
3%

Ukraine
3%

Romania
1%

Italy
1%

Cyprus
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Germany
1%

Poland
1%

Malta
1%

Switzerland
1%

Luxembourg
1%

San Marino
1%

Austria
1%

Montenegro
1%

Croatia
1%

Estonia
1%

Australia
1%

Belgium
1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Azerbaijan
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Albania
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Norway
<1%

Armenia
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Marché ouvert : Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Israel leads the Eurovision 2026 televote winner market at 35.5% implied probability, propelled by Noam Bettan's "Michelle"—a multilingual Hebrew-French-English "toxic love" ballad unveiled March 5 amid strong social media buzz and Israel's historical televote strength from recent contests. Greece follows at 17.5% after Akylas's "Ferto" exploded on Spotify virals post its February national final victory, fueling diaspora and pan-European hype. Finland's 11.5% reflects the spectacle of Linda Lampenius x Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," featuring violin and live flamethrower from its late-February UMK win, though traders see it more jury-friendly. France's fresh "Regarde!" by Monroe, dropped March 6, holds 8.5% on chic Parisian staging. With Vienna semis in May, national final momentum and streaming trajectories will drive further shifts in this volatile trader consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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