Trader consensus favors Australia at 32.5% implied probability to claim the Eurovision 2026 jury winner title, closely trailed by France at 27.5%, reflecting strong national final performances by Delta Goodrem's orchestral ballad "Eclipse"—selected March 1—and Monroe's emotive "Regarde," revealed March 6-9. These sophisticated entries, emphasizing vocal prowess and composition depth, align with historical jury preferences for non-uptempo tracks over public televote darlings. Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen duo ("Liekinheitin," UMK winner February 28) and Denmark's Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem") tie at 10.5%, buoyed by Nordic belting traditions that often score high with juries. With Vienna rehearsals looming in April and the Grand Final May 16, preview buzz and international jury previews could shift this tight race among frontrunners.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourEurovision 2026 : Lauréat du Jury
Eurovision 2026 : Lauréat du Jury
Australie 33%
France 28%
Finlande 11%
Danemark 11%
$638,673 Vol.
$638,673 Vol.
Australie
33%
France
28%
Finlande
11%
Danemark
11%
Tchéquie
3%
Malte
2%
Suède
2%
Italie
2%
Ukraine
1%
Lettonie
1%
Israël
1%
Grèce
1%
Allemagne
1%
Croatie
1%
Chypre
1%
Serbie
1%
Bulgarie
1%
Royaume-Uni
1%
Autriche
1%
Moldavie
1%
Monténégro
1%
Portugal
1%
Albanie
1%
Géorgie
<1%
Pologne
<1%
Saint-Marin
<1%
Belgique
<1%
Azerbaïdjan
<1%
Arménie
<1%
Estonie
<1%
Lituanie
<1%
Luxembourg
<1%
Roumanie
<1%
Suisse
<1%
Norvège
<1%
Australie 33%
France 28%
Finlande 11%
Danemark 11%
$638,673 Vol.
$638,673 Vol.
Australie
33%
France
28%
Finlande
11%
Danemark
11%
Tchéquie
3%
Malte
2%
Suède
2%
Italie
2%
Ukraine
1%
Lettonie
1%
Israël
1%
Grèce
1%
Allemagne
1%
Croatie
1%
Chypre
1%
Serbie
1%
Bulgarie
1%
Royaume-Uni
1%
Autriche
1%
Moldavie
1%
Monténégro
1%
Portugal
1%
Albanie
1%
Géorgie
<1%
Pologne
<1%
Saint-Marin
<1%
Belgique
<1%
Azerbaïdjan
<1%
Arménie
<1%
Estonie
<1%
Lituanie
<1%
Luxembourg
<1%
Roumanie
<1%
Suisse
<1%
Norvège
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Marché ouvert : Mar 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors Australia at 32.5% implied probability to claim the Eurovision 2026 jury winner title, closely trailed by France at 27.5%, reflecting strong national final performances by Delta Goodrem's orchestral ballad "Eclipse"—selected March 1—and Monroe's emotive "Regarde," revealed March 6-9. These sophisticated entries, emphasizing vocal prowess and composition depth, align with historical jury preferences for non-uptempo tracks over public televote darlings. Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen duo ("Liekinheitin," UMK winner February 28) and Denmark's Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem") tie at 10.5%, buoyed by Nordic belting traditions that often score high with juries. With Vienna rehearsals looming in April and the Grand Final May 16, preview buzz and international jury previews could shift this tight race among frontrunners.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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