Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Australia as the slim jury frontrunner at 31.5% implied probability for Eurovision 2026's professional jury vote, driven by its consistent historical strength—top-five jury finishes in four of the last eight contests, thanks to polished pop productions and strong songwriters. France trails closely at 24%, bolstered by perennial ballad appeal and recent high jury placements like 2022's runner-up. Finland (15.5%) gains from 2024's viral televote surge with Windows95man, signaling production quality that juries reward, while Denmark (10%) rides Nordic reliability seen in 2023's strong showing. With the Basel 2025 contest just months away determining the 2026 host and previewing strategies, early odds reflect volatile sentiment amid unannounced national selections; key swing factors include emerging song previews and geopolitical narratives.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourEurovision 2026 : Lauréat du Jury
Eurovision 2026 : Lauréat du Jury
Australie 32%
France 24%
Finlande 16%
Danemark 10%
$506,662 Vol.
$506,662 Vol.
Australie
32%
France
24%
Finlande
16%
Danemark
10%
Tchéquie
2%
Malte
2%
Suède
2%
Israël
1%
Croatie
1%
Ukraine
1%
Bulgarie
1%
Lettonie
1%
Autriche
1%
Allemagne
1%
Italie
1%
Moldavie
1%
Monténégro
1%
Portugal
1%
Grèce
1%
Royaume-Uni
1%
Chypre
<1%
Géorgie
<1%
Pologne
<1%
Albanie
<1%
Azerbaïdjan
<1%
Arménie
<1%
Estonie
<1%
Lituanie
<1%
Luxembourg
<1%
Roumanie
<1%
Suisse
<1%
Belgique
<1%
Norvège
<1%
Serbie
<1%
Saint-Marin
<1%
Australie 32%
France 24%
Finlande 16%
Danemark 10%
$506,662 Vol.
$506,662 Vol.
Australie
32%
France
24%
Finlande
16%
Danemark
10%
Tchéquie
2%
Malte
2%
Suède
2%
Israël
1%
Croatie
1%
Ukraine
1%
Bulgarie
1%
Lettonie
1%
Autriche
1%
Allemagne
1%
Italie
1%
Moldavie
1%
Monténégro
1%
Portugal
1%
Grèce
1%
Royaume-Uni
1%
Chypre
<1%
Géorgie
<1%
Pologne
<1%
Albanie
<1%
Azerbaïdjan
<1%
Arménie
<1%
Estonie
<1%
Lituanie
<1%
Luxembourg
<1%
Roumanie
<1%
Suisse
<1%
Belgique
<1%
Norvège
<1%
Serbie
<1%
Saint-Marin
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Marché ouvert : Mar 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Australia as the slim jury frontrunner at 31.5% implied probability for Eurovision 2026's professional jury vote, driven by its consistent historical strength—top-five jury finishes in four of the last eight contests, thanks to polished pop productions and strong songwriters. France trails closely at 24%, bolstered by perennial ballad appeal and recent high jury placements like 2022's runner-up. Finland (15.5%) gains from 2024's viral televote surge with Windows95man, signaling production quality that juries reward, while Denmark (10%) rides Nordic reliability seen in 2023's strong showing. With the Basel 2025 contest just months away determining the 2026 host and previewing strategies, early odds reflect volatile sentiment amid unannounced national selections; key swing factors include emerging song previews and geopolitical narratives.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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