Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Australia as the jury frontrunner for Eurovision 2026 at 31% implied probability, reflecting its track record of jury-favored entries with polished vocals and staging, as in recent top-five finishes. France trails closely at 24%, buoyed by historical jury dominance in ballad categories, exemplified by its 2021 win. Finland (15.5%) and Denmark (10.5%) round out the leaders, leveraging edgy pop-rock and catchy hooks that have resonated with juries sporadically. With national finals not starting until late 2025, the market remains highly speculative and competitive, sensitive to early artist announcements, genre trends favoring sophistication over novelties, and shifts from 2025 contest dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourEurovision 2026 : Lauréat du Jury
Eurovision 2026 : Lauréat du Jury
Australie 31%
France 24%
Finlande 16%
Danemark 11%
$500,694 Vol.
$500,694 Vol.
Australie
31%
France
24%
Finlande
16%
Danemark
11%
Tchéquie
2%
Malte
2%
Autriche
2%
Israël
1%
Croatie
1%
Suède
1%
Ukraine
1%
Italie
1%
Bulgarie
1%
Lettonie
1%
Allemagne
1%
Moldavie
1%
Monténégro
1%
Portugal
1%
Grèce
1%
Royaume-Uni
1%
Chypre
<1%
Géorgie
<1%
Pologne
<1%
Albanie
<1%
Azerbaïdjan
<1%
Arménie
<1%
Estonie
<1%
Lituanie
<1%
Luxembourg
<1%
Roumanie
<1%
Suisse
<1%
Belgique
<1%
Norvège
<1%
Serbie
<1%
Saint-Marin
<1%
Australie 31%
France 24%
Finlande 16%
Danemark 11%
$500,694 Vol.
$500,694 Vol.
Australie
31%
France
24%
Finlande
16%
Danemark
11%
Tchéquie
2%
Malte
2%
Autriche
2%
Israël
1%
Croatie
1%
Suède
1%
Ukraine
1%
Italie
1%
Bulgarie
1%
Lettonie
1%
Allemagne
1%
Moldavie
1%
Monténégro
1%
Portugal
1%
Grèce
1%
Royaume-Uni
1%
Chypre
<1%
Géorgie
<1%
Pologne
<1%
Albanie
<1%
Azerbaïdjan
<1%
Arménie
<1%
Estonie
<1%
Lituanie
<1%
Luxembourg
<1%
Roumanie
<1%
Suisse
<1%
Belgique
<1%
Norvège
<1%
Serbie
<1%
Saint-Marin
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Marché ouvert : Mar 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Australia as the jury frontrunner for Eurovision 2026 at 31% implied probability, reflecting its track record of jury-favored entries with polished vocals and staging, as in recent top-five finishes. France trails closely at 24%, buoyed by historical jury dominance in ballad categories, exemplified by its 2021 win. Finland (15.5%) and Denmark (10.5%) round out the leaders, leveraging edgy pop-rock and catchy hooks that have resonated with juries sporadically. With national finals not starting until late 2025, the market remains highly speculative and competitive, sensitive to early artist announcements, genre trends favoring sophistication over novelties, and shifts from 2025 contest dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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