Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Australia (Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse") as the narrow jury frontrunner at 32.5% implied probability, closely trailed by France (Monroe's "Regarde!") at 26%, reflecting strong professional voter appeal from recent national final triumphs and pre-party buzz. Australia's polished pop production and Goodrem's veteran staging—highlighted in standout Norway performances—edge it ahead, while France's dramatic artistry garners praise for compositional depth, differentiating from televote-heavy entries like Finland's "Liekinheitin" (12.5%), which dominated UMK jury and public votes but lags in pure jury models. Denmark's "Før Vi Går Hjem" (7.5%) rounds out contention with emotional balladry. With Vienna rehearsals looming in May, live previews and staging tweaks could swing this tight race, underscoring juries' emphasis on songcraft over spectacle.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourEurovision 2026 : Lauréat du Jury
Eurovision 2026 : Lauréat du Jury
Australie 33%
France 26%
Finlande 13%
Danemark 8%
$785,853 Vol.
$785,853 Vol.
Australie
33%
France
26%
Finlande
13%
Danemark
8%
Tchéquie
4%
Malte
2%
Roumanie
2%
Suède
2%
Grèce
2%
Italie
1%
Israël
1%
Lettonie
1%
Serbie
1%
Ukraine
1%
Bulgarie
1%
Chypre
1%
Allemagne
1%
Croatie
1%
Pologne
1%
Moldavie
1%
Monténégro
1%
Autriche
1%
Lituanie
1%
Portugal
1%
Albanie
1%
Royaume-Uni
1%
Norvège
<1%
Saint-Marin
<1%
Azerbaïdjan
<1%
Géorgie
<1%
Arménie
<1%
Estonie
<1%
Luxembourg
<1%
Suisse
<1%
Belgique
<1%
Australie 33%
France 26%
Finlande 13%
Danemark 8%
$785,853 Vol.
$785,853 Vol.
Australie
33%
France
26%
Finlande
13%
Danemark
8%
Tchéquie
4%
Malte
2%
Roumanie
2%
Suède
2%
Grèce
2%
Italie
1%
Israël
1%
Lettonie
1%
Serbie
1%
Ukraine
1%
Bulgarie
1%
Chypre
1%
Allemagne
1%
Croatie
1%
Pologne
1%
Moldavie
1%
Monténégro
1%
Autriche
1%
Lituanie
1%
Portugal
1%
Albanie
1%
Royaume-Uni
1%
Norvège
<1%
Saint-Marin
<1%
Azerbaïdjan
<1%
Géorgie
<1%
Arménie
<1%
Estonie
<1%
Luxembourg
<1%
Suisse
<1%
Belgique
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Marché ouvert : Mar 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Australia (Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse") as the narrow jury frontrunner at 32.5% implied probability, closely trailed by France (Monroe's "Regarde!") at 26%, reflecting strong professional voter appeal from recent national final triumphs and pre-party buzz. Australia's polished pop production and Goodrem's veteran staging—highlighted in standout Norway performances—edge it ahead, while France's dramatic artistry garners praise for compositional depth, differentiating from televote-heavy entries like Finland's "Liekinheitin" (12.5%), which dominated UMK jury and public votes but lags in pure jury models. Denmark's "Før Vi Går Hjem" (7.5%) rounds out contention with emotional balladry. With Vienna rehearsals looming in May, live previews and staging tweaks could swing this tight race, underscoring juries' emphasis on songcraft over spectacle.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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