Australia and France dominate the Eurovision 2026 Jury Winner market with tightly matched implied probabilities of 32% and 29.5%, capturing trader consensus on their proven jury magnetism despite no entries announced. Australia's edge stems from consistent top jury scores since 2015—thanks to sleek pop ballads and professional staging—while France leverages Big Five resources for refined chanson-style contenders that juries historically reward. Finland (11.5%) and Denmark (9.5%) follow, fueled by Nordic melodic expertise, but face stiff competition. Absent recent developments, with national selections kicking off late 2025, swings depend on song quality, artist pedigree, and alignment with jury tastes for sophisticated, emotive tracks; 2025's Basel results could indirectly shape hosting buzz and momentum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourEurovision 2026 : Lauréat du Jury
Eurovision 2026 : Lauréat du Jury
Australie 33%
France 29%
Finlande 11%
Danemark 10%
$547,539 Vol.
$547,539 Vol.
Australie
33%
France
29%
Finlande
11%
Danemark
10%
Tchéquie
2%
Malte
2%
Italie
2%
Suède
2%
Ukraine
1%
Croatie
1%
Israël
1%
Bulgarie
1%
Lettonie
1%
Chypre
1%
Allemagne
1%
Grèce
1%
Royaume-Uni
1%
Serbie
1%
Autriche
1%
Moldavie
1%
Monténégro
1%
Portugal
1%
Albanie
1%
Géorgie
<1%
Pologne
<1%
Saint-Marin
<1%
Roumanie
<1%
Belgique
<1%
Norvège
<1%
Azerbaïdjan
<1%
Arménie
<1%
Estonie
<1%
Lituanie
<1%
Luxembourg
<1%
Suisse
<1%
Australie 33%
France 29%
Finlande 11%
Danemark 10%
$547,539 Vol.
$547,539 Vol.
Australie
33%
France
29%
Finlande
11%
Danemark
10%
Tchéquie
2%
Malte
2%
Italie
2%
Suède
2%
Ukraine
1%
Croatie
1%
Israël
1%
Bulgarie
1%
Lettonie
1%
Chypre
1%
Allemagne
1%
Grèce
1%
Royaume-Uni
1%
Serbie
1%
Autriche
1%
Moldavie
1%
Monténégro
1%
Portugal
1%
Albanie
1%
Géorgie
<1%
Pologne
<1%
Saint-Marin
<1%
Roumanie
<1%
Belgique
<1%
Norvège
<1%
Azerbaïdjan
<1%
Arménie
<1%
Estonie
<1%
Lituanie
<1%
Luxembourg
<1%
Suisse
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Marché ouvert : Mar 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Australia and France dominate the Eurovision 2026 Jury Winner market with tightly matched implied probabilities of 32% and 29.5%, capturing trader consensus on their proven jury magnetism despite no entries announced. Australia's edge stems from consistent top jury scores since 2015—thanks to sleek pop ballads and professional staging—while France leverages Big Five resources for refined chanson-style contenders that juries historically reward. Finland (11.5%) and Denmark (9.5%) follow, fueled by Nordic melodic expertise, but face stiff competition. Absent recent developments, with national selections kicking off late 2025, swings depend on song quality, artist pedigree, and alignment with jury tastes for sophisticated, emotive tracks; 2025's Basel results could indirectly shape hosting buzz and momentum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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