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Eurovision 2026 : Première demi-finale

Market icon

Eurovision 2026 : Première demi-finale

$418,366 Vol.

12 mai 2026
Polymarket

$418,366 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Finlande

$330,368 Vol.

99%

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Suède

$1,641 Vol.

97%

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Grèce

$4,226 Vol.

96%

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Israël

$19,583 Vol.

94%

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Moldavie

$1,639 Vol.

87%

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Serbie

$1,452 Vol.

77%

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Croatie

$3,705 Vol.

74%

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Lituanie

$2,591 Vol.

70%

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Monténégro

$1,414 Vol.

56%

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Géorgie

$184 Vol.

53%

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Belgique

$6,233 Vol.

51%

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Pologne

$7,479 Vol.

47%

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Portugal

$30,880 Vol.

32%

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Estonie

$1,848 Vol.

23%

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Saint-Marin

$5,122 Vol.

12%

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The recent reveal of the First Semi-Final running order on April 3 has sharpened trader focus for Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, positioning frontrunners like Sweden's Felicia ("My System," slot 2), Greece's Akylas ("Ferto," 4), Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen ("Liekinheitin," 7), and Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle," 10) advantageously amid a stacked lineup of 15 entrants. Guest performances by Italy's Sal Da Vinci and Germany's Sarah Engels add spectacle but no competition, while the return of professional juries alongside televoting—first since 2022—introduces dual dynamics favoring strong staging and broad appeal. With national selections complete and rehearsals imminent ahead of May 12 at Wiener Stadthalle, momentum hinges on early previews and diaspora voting blocs for the top 10 qualifiers.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$418,366
Date de fin
12 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The recent reveal of the First Semi-Final running order on April 3 has sharpened trader focus for Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, positioning frontrunners like Sweden's Felicia ("My System," slot 2), Greece's Akylas ("Ferto," 4), Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen ("Liekinheitin," 7), and Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle," 10) advantageously amid a stacked lineup of 15 entrants. Guest performances by Italy's Sal Da Vinci and Germany's Sarah Engels add spectacle but no competition, while the return of professional juries alongside televoting—first since 2022—introduces dual dynamics favoring strong staging and broad appeal. With national selections complete and rehearsals imminent ahead of May 12 at Wiener Stadthalle, momentum hinges on early previews and diaspora voting blocs for the top 10 qualifiers.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$418,366
Date de fin
12 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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Questions fréquentes

« Eurovision 2026 : Première demi-finale » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 15 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Finlande » à 99%, suivi de « Suède » à 97%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 99¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 99% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Eurovision 2026 : Première demi-finale » a généré $418.4K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 16, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Eurovision 2026 : Première demi-finale », parcourez les 15 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Eurovision 2026 : Première demi-finale » est « Finlande » à 99%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 99% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Suède » à 97%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Eurovision 2026 : Première demi-finale » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.