With all 15 entries for Eurovision 2026's First Semi-Final confirmed via recent national finals—including Sweden's Felicia Eriksson winning Melodifestivalen with the upbeat "My System" and Georgia's Bzikebi releasing "On Replay" just weeks ago—trader consensus on Polymarket favors Nordic and Balkan frontrunners like Sweden, Greece's Akylas ("Ferto"), and Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen ("Liekinheitin") for the top 10 qualification spots out of Wiener Stadthalle on May 12. Strong televote potential from Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle") persists despite boycotts by five nations, while new anti-fraud voting rules (capped fan votes, diverse juries) curb past controversies. Watch the April 2 running order draw and early rehearsals for momentum shifts in this diaspora-heavy field.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourEurovision 2026 : Première demi-finale
Eurovision 2026 : Première demi-finale
$363,695 Vol.
May 12, 2026
Suède
98%
Finlande
95%
Grèce
95%
Israël
89%
Moldavie
82%
Croatie
82%
Serbie
68%
Lituanie
66%
Pologne
56%
Monténégro
55%
Belgique
50%
Géorgie
47%
Portugal
32%
Estonie
21%
Saint-Marin
16%
$363,695 Vol.
Suède
$1,185 Vol.
98%
Finlande
$325,769 Vol.
95%
Grèce
$3,967 Vol.
95%
Israël
$19,500 Vol.
89%
Moldavie
$0 Vol.
82%
Croatie
$2,256 Vol.
82%
Serbie
$826 Vol.
68%
Lituanie
$2,175 Vol.
66%
Pologne
$0 Vol.
56%
Monténégro
$1,365 Vol.
55%
Belgique
$0 Vol.
50%
Géorgie
$166 Vol.
47%
Portugal
$0 Vol.
32%
Estonie
$1,442 Vol.
21%
Saint-Marin
$5,045 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With all 15 entries for Eurovision 2026's First Semi-Final confirmed via recent national finals—including Sweden's Felicia Eriksson winning Melodifestivalen with the upbeat "My System" and Georgia's Bzikebi releasing "On Replay" just weeks ago—trader consensus on Polymarket favors Nordic and Balkan frontrunners like Sweden, Greece's Akylas ("Ferto"), and Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen ("Liekinheitin") for the top 10 qualification spots out of Wiener Stadthalle on May 12. Strong televote potential from Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle") persists despite boycotts by five nations, while new anti-fraud voting rules (capped fan votes, diverse juries) curb past controversies. Watch the April 2 running order draw and early rehearsals for momentum shifts in this diaspora-heavy field.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Marché ouvert : Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET
Volume
$363,695Date de fin
May 12, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With all 15 entries for Eurovision 2026's First Semi-Final confirmed via recent national finals—including Sweden's Felicia Eriksson winning Melodifestivalen with the upbeat "My System" and Georgia's Bzikebi releasing "On Replay" just weeks ago—trader consensus on Polymarket favors Nordic and Balkan frontrunners like Sweden, Greece's Akylas ("Ferto"), and Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen ("Liekinheitin") for the top 10 qualification spots out of Wiener Stadthalle on May 12. Strong televote potential from Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle") persists despite boycotts by five nations, while new anti-fraud voting rules (capped fan votes, diverse juries) curb past controversies. Watch the April 2 running order draw and early rehearsals for momentum shifts in this diaspora-heavy field.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$363,695Date de fin
May 12, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...With all 15 entries for Eurovision 2026's First Semi-Final confirmed via recent national finals—including Sweden's Felicia Eriksson winning Melodifestivalen with the upbeat "My System" and Georgia's Bzikebi releasing "On Replay" just weeks ago—trader consensus on Polymarket favors Nordic and Balkan frontrunners like Sweden, Greece's Akylas ("Ferto"), and Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen ("Liekinheitin") for the top 10 qualification spots out of Wiener Stadthalle on May 12. Strong televote potential from Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle") persists despite boycotts by five nations, while new anti-fraud voting rules (capped fan votes, diverse juries) curb past controversies. Watch the April 2 running order draw and early rehearsals for momentum shifts in this diaspora-heavy field.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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