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Eurovision 2026 : Première demi-finale

Market icon

Eurovision 2026 : Première demi-finale

$412,271 Vol.

12 mai 2026
Polymarket

$412,271 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Finlande

$328,114 Vol.

97%

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Grèce

$3,967 Vol.

94%

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Suède

$1,303 Vol.

94%

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Israël

$19,535 Vol.

89%

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Moldavie

$1,426 Vol.

82%

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Croatie

$2,256 Vol.

81%

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Lituanie

$2,439 Vol.

70%

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Serbie

$837 Vol.

66%

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Monténégro

$1,414 Vol.

57%

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Géorgie

$166 Vol.

47%

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Pologne

$7,153 Vol.

46%

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Belgique

$6,160 Vol.

50%

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Portugal

$30,880 Vol.

32%

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Estonie

$1,574 Vol.

20%

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Saint-Marin

$5,045 Vol.

16%

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With national selections wrapping up by mid-March, the full 35-song lineup for Vienna 2026 is set, fueling trader consensus on Polymarket for the First Semi-Final qualifiers on May 12 at Wiener Stadthalle. Early betting odds and forecasts spotlight Finland's "The Model" as the frontrunner to top the heat, driven by strong preview buzz, alongside contenders from Sweden, Georgia, Greece, and Moldova amid high fan engagement on social media. The January semi-final allocation draw placed 15 nations—including Croatia, Belgium, Estonia, Israel, Portugal, and Serbia—into the mix, where historical qualification rates favor Nordic and Eastern acts. Upcoming running order announcements and late-April rehearsals could spark momentum shifts via staging reveals and live polish, as jury votes and televoting blend unpredictably in this skin-in-the-game crowd wisdom.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$412,271
Date de fin
12 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With national selections wrapping up by mid-March, the full 35-song lineup for Vienna 2026 is set, fueling trader consensus on Polymarket for the First Semi-Final qualifiers on May 12 at Wiener Stadthalle. Early betting odds and forecasts spotlight Finland's "The Model" as the frontrunner to top the heat, driven by strong preview buzz, alongside contenders from Sweden, Georgia, Greece, and Moldova amid high fan engagement on social media. The January semi-final allocation draw placed 15 nations—including Croatia, Belgium, Estonia, Israel, Portugal, and Serbia—into the mix, where historical qualification rates favor Nordic and Eastern acts. Upcoming running order announcements and late-April rehearsals could spark momentum shifts via staging reveals and live polish, as jury votes and televoting blend unpredictably in this skin-in-the-game crowd wisdom.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$412,271
Date de fin
12 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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Questions fréquentes

« Eurovision 2026 : Première demi-finale » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 15 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Finlande » à 97%, suivi de « Grèce » à 94%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 97¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 97% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Eurovision 2026 : Première demi-finale » a généré $412.3K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 16, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Eurovision 2026 : Première demi-finale », parcourez les 15 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Eurovision 2026 : Première demi-finale » est « Finlande » à 97%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 97% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Grèce » à 94%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Eurovision 2026 : Première demi-finale » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.