The Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final, set for May 12 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, features a competitive lineup of 15 countries—Croatia, Finland, Georgia, Greece, Moldova, Portugal, Sweden, Belgium, Estonia, Israel, Lithuania, Montenegro, Poland, San Marino, and Serbia—with the top 10 advancing to the Grand Final via combined jury and televote. Trader consensus has shifted sharply following the March 29 release of betting odds, crowning Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen as the frontrunner to top the semi, fueled by strong preview reception and streaming buzz amid recent song drops from Georgia and others. Nordic entries like Sweden add firepower, while Balkan acts face diaspora voting battles. The full running order reveal on April 2 remains a key catalyst that could reshape qualification momentum, as producers finalize performance slots to optimize staging and voter flow.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourEurovision 2026 : Première demi-finale
Eurovision 2026 : Première demi-finale
$371,280 Vol.
May 12, 2026
Finlande
95%
Suède
94%
Grèce
94%
Israël
88%
Moldavie
82%
Croatie
82%
Serbie
68%
Lituanie
66%
Belgique
50%
Pologne
56%
Monténégro
55%
Géorgie
45%
Portugal
32%
Estonie
20%
Saint-Marin
16%
$371,280 Vol.
Finlande
$325,818 Vol.
95%
Suède
$1,253 Vol.
94%
Grèce
$3,967 Vol.
94%
Israël
$19,519 Vol.
88%
Moldavie
$0 Vol.
82%
Croatie
$2,256 Vol.
82%
Serbie
$826 Vol.
68%
Lituanie
$2,304 Vol.
66%
Belgique
$0 Vol.
50%
Pologne
$7,153 Vol.
56%
Monténégro
$1,404 Vol.
55%
Géorgie
$166 Vol.
45%
Portugal
$0 Vol.
32%
Estonie
$1,568 Vol.
20%
Saint-Marin
$5,045 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final, set for May 12 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, features a competitive lineup of 15 countries—Croatia, Finland, Georgia, Greece, Moldova, Portugal, Sweden, Belgium, Estonia, Israel, Lithuania, Montenegro, Poland, San Marino, and Serbia—with the top 10 advancing to the Grand Final via combined jury and televote. Trader consensus has shifted sharply following the March 29 release of betting odds, crowning Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen as the frontrunner to top the semi, fueled by strong preview reception and streaming buzz amid recent song drops from Georgia and others. Nordic entries like Sweden add firepower, while Balkan acts face diaspora voting battles. The full running order reveal on April 2 remains a key catalyst that could reshape qualification momentum, as producers finalize performance slots to optimize staging and voter flow.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Marché ouvert : Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET
Volume
$371,280Date de fin
May 12, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final, set for May 12 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, features a competitive lineup of 15 countries—Croatia, Finland, Georgia, Greece, Moldova, Portugal, Sweden, Belgium, Estonia, Israel, Lithuania, Montenegro, Poland, San Marino, and Serbia—with the top 10 advancing to the Grand Final via combined jury and televote. Trader consensus has shifted sharply following the March 29 release of betting odds, crowning Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen as the frontrunner to top the semi, fueled by strong preview reception and streaming buzz amid recent song drops from Georgia and others. Nordic entries like Sweden add firepower, while Balkan acts face diaspora voting battles. The full running order reveal on April 2 remains a key catalyst that could reshape qualification momentum, as producers finalize performance slots to optimize staging and voter flow.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$371,280Date de fin
May 12, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final, set for May 12 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, features a competitive lineup of 15 countries—Croatia, Finland, Georgia, Greece, Moldova, Portugal, Sweden, Belgium, Estonia, Israel, Lithuania, Montenegro, Poland, San Marino, and Serbia—with the top 10 advancing to the Grand Final via combined jury and televote. Trader consensus has shifted sharply following the March 29 release of betting odds, crowning Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen as the frontrunner to top the semi, fueled by strong preview reception and streaming buzz amid recent song drops from Georgia and others. Nordic entries like Sweden add firepower, while Balkan acts face diaspora voting battles. The full running order reveal on April 2 remains a key catalyst that could reshape qualification momentum, as producers finalize performance slots to optimize staging and voter flow.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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