Geopolitical supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran conflict and associated Strait of Hormuz shipping constraints have lifted near-term WTI crude prices, underpinning the 56.5% market-implied probability for June settlement above $84. Front-month futures have eased from April peaks above $100 to approximately $88 as of late May amid tentative diplomatic progress and partial reopening signals, though persistent Middle East production shut-ins continue to support elevated levels through inventory draws. Softer 2026 global demand forecasts from OPEC and the EIA, combined with record U.S. exports and a firm dollar, cap further upside and reinforce the 20% odds on the $77–$84 range. Weekly EIA stockpile reports and any final Hormuz-related diplomatic developments represent key near-term catalysts that could shift trader sentiment ahead of settlement.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÀ quoi le pétrole brut (CL) se stabilisera-t-il en juin ?
À quoi le pétrole brut (CL) se stabilisera-t-il en juin ?
>84 $ 56%
77 $–84 $ 20%
70 $ - 77 $ 12.2%
63 $-70 $ 2.9%
$206,002 Vol.
$206,002 Vol.
30 juin 2026
<42 $
<1%
42 $-49 $
1%
49 $–56 $
1%
56 $-63 $
1%
63 $-70 $
3%
70 $ - 77 $
12%
77 $–84 $
20%
>84 $
56%
>84 $ 56%
77 $–84 $ 20%
70 $ - 77 $ 12.2%
63 $-70 $ 2.9%
$206,002 Vol.
$206,002 Vol.
30 juin 2026
<42 $
$21,291 Vol.
<1%
42 $-49 $
$10,192 Vol.
1%
49 $–56 $
$12,160 Vol.
1%
56 $-63 $
$14,140 Vol.
1%
63 $-70 $
$27,287 Vol.
3%
70 $ - 77 $
$16,940 Vol.
12%
77 $–84 $
$17,111 Vol.
20%
>84 $
$86,881 Vol.
56%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran conflict and associated Strait of Hormuz shipping constraints have lifted near-term WTI crude prices, underpinning the 56.5% market-implied probability for June settlement above $84. Front-month futures have eased from April peaks above $100 to approximately $88 as of late May amid tentative diplomatic progress and partial reopening signals, though persistent Middle East production shut-ins continue to support elevated levels through inventory draws. Softer 2026 global demand forecasts from OPEC and the EIA, combined with record U.S. exports and a firm dollar, cap further upside and reinforce the 20% odds on the $77–$84 range. Weekly EIA stockpile reports and any final Hormuz-related diplomatic developments represent key near-term catalysts that could shift trader sentiment ahead of settlement.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Marché ouvert : Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Volume
$206,002Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran conflict and associated Strait of Hormuz shipping constraints have lifted near-term WTI crude prices, underpinning the 56.5% market-implied probability for June settlement above $84. Front-month futures have eased from April peaks above $100 to approximately $88 as of late May amid tentative diplomatic progress and partial reopening signals, though persistent Middle East production shut-ins continue to support elevated levels through inventory draws. Softer 2026 global demand forecasts from OPEC and the EIA, combined with record U.S. exports and a firm dollar, cap further upside and reinforce the 20% odds on the $77–$84 range. Weekly EIA stockpile reports and any final Hormuz-related diplomatic developments represent key near-term catalysts that could shift trader sentiment ahead of settlement.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Volume
$206,002Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Geopolitical supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran conflict and associated Strait of Hormuz shipping constraints have lifted near-term WTI crude prices, underpinning the 56.5% market-implied probability for June settlement above $84. Front-month futures have eased from April peaks above $100 to approximately $88 as of late May amid tentative diplomatic progress and partial reopening signals, though persistent Middle East production shut-ins continue to support elevated levels through inventory draws. Softer 2026 global demand forecasts from OPEC and the EIA, combined with record U.S. exports and a firm dollar, cap further upside and reinforce the 20% odds on the $77–$84 range. Weekly EIA stockpile reports and any final Hormuz-related diplomatic developments represent key near-term catalysts that could shift trader sentiment ahead of settlement.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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