Xi Jinping maintains firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and military through repeated leadership purges, including the early 2026 investigation of longtime ally General Zhang Youxia, which official statements framed as anti-corruption enforcement rather than evidence of factional challenges. These measures have reinforced centralized authority without producing verified signs of organized dissent or instability through mid-2026. Trader consensus on low odds for a coup attempt by the end of 2026 aligns with the historical pattern of limited elite fractures in the opaque one-party system and the absence of public indicators of weakening leadership. Potential shifts could stem from severe economic pressures, leadership health developments, or undetected internal divisions, though none show clear momentum within the current window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$129,790 Vol.
$129,790 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$129,790 Vol.
$129,790 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping maintains firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and military through repeated leadership purges, including the early 2026 investigation of longtime ally General Zhang Youxia, which official statements framed as anti-corruption enforcement rather than evidence of factional challenges. These measures have reinforced centralized authority without producing verified signs of organized dissent or instability through mid-2026. Trader consensus on low odds for a coup attempt by the end of 2026 aligns with the historical pattern of limited elite fractures in the opaque one-party system and the absence of public indicators of weakening leadership. Potential shifts could stem from severe economic pressures, leadership health developments, or undetected internal divisions, though none show clear momentum within the current window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$129,790Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping maintains firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and military through repeated leadership purges, including the early 2026 investigation of longtime ally General Zhang Youxia, which official statements framed as anti-corruption enforcement rather than evidence of factional challenges. These measures have reinforced centralized authority without producing verified signs of organized dissent or instability through mid-2026. Trader consensus on low odds for a coup attempt by the end of 2026 aligns with the historical pattern of limited elite fractures in the opaque one-party system and the absence of public indicators of weakening leadership. Potential shifts could stem from severe economic pressures, leadership health developments, or undetected internal divisions, though none show clear momentum within the current window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$129,790Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping maintains firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and military through repeated leadership purges, including the early 2026 investigation of longtime ally General Zhang Youxia, which official statements framed as anti-corruption enforcement rather than evidence of factional challenges. These measures have reinforced centralized authority without producing verified signs of organized dissent or instability through mid-2026. Trader consensus on low odds for a coup attempt by the end of 2026 aligns with the historical pattern of limited elite fractures in the opaque one-party system and the absence of public indicators of weakening leadership. Potential shifts could stem from severe economic pressures, leadership health developments, or undetected internal divisions, though none show clear momentum within the current window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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