Xi Jinping maintains firm control over China’s Communist Party and military through repeated anti-corruption purges of senior PLA officers, including the January 2026 investigation of close ally General Zhang Youxia, which analysts interpret as further consolidation rather than evidence of factional challenge. No verifiable coup attempt has occurred, and the opaque leadership structure has shown consistent obedience to central authority amid the run-up to the 2027 Party Congress. Traders price the near-certain “No” outcome on this record of stability and historical precedent of suppressed elite dissent. Late-breaking shifts could still arise from an unexpected health crisis at the top, a major external security shock, or visible fractures at the next congress, though such developments remain low-probability events within the resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$129,717 Vol.
$129,717 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$129,717 Vol.
$129,717 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping maintains firm control over China’s Communist Party and military through repeated anti-corruption purges of senior PLA officers, including the January 2026 investigation of close ally General Zhang Youxia, which analysts interpret as further consolidation rather than evidence of factional challenge. No verifiable coup attempt has occurred, and the opaque leadership structure has shown consistent obedience to central authority amid the run-up to the 2027 Party Congress. Traders price the near-certain “No” outcome on this record of stability and historical precedent of suppressed elite dissent. Late-breaking shifts could still arise from an unexpected health crisis at the top, a major external security shock, or visible fractures at the next congress, though such developments remain low-probability events within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$129,717Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping maintains firm control over China’s Communist Party and military through repeated anti-corruption purges of senior PLA officers, including the January 2026 investigation of close ally General Zhang Youxia, which analysts interpret as further consolidation rather than evidence of factional challenge. No verifiable coup attempt has occurred, and the opaque leadership structure has shown consistent obedience to central authority amid the run-up to the 2027 Party Congress. Traders price the near-certain “No” outcome on this record of stability and historical precedent of suppressed elite dissent. Late-breaking shifts could still arise from an unexpected health crisis at the top, a major external security shock, or visible fractures at the next congress, though such developments remain low-probability events within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$129,724Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping maintains firm control over China’s Communist Party and military through repeated anti-corruption purges of senior PLA officers, including the January 2026 investigation of close ally General Zhang Youxia, which analysts interpret as further consolidation rather than evidence of factional challenge. No verifiable coup attempt has occurred, and the opaque leadership structure has shown consistent obedience to central authority amid the run-up to the 2027 Party Congress. Traders price the near-certain “No” outcome on this record of stability and historical precedent of suppressed elite dissent. Late-breaking shifts could still arise from an unexpected health crisis at the top, a major external security shock, or visible fractures at the next congress, though such developments remain low-probability events within the resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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