Bayern München's commanding position atop the Bundesliga table with 76 points from 29 matches and a +78 goal difference underpins trader consensus pricing them at 66.5% implied probability for victory over mid-table FSV Mainz 05, despite an away fixture at MEWA Arena. Bayern's superior squad depth and historical head-to-head dominance—winning 32 of 45 encounters—offset recent injuries to Serge Gnabry (knee), Lennart Karl (hamstring), and Tom Bischof (calf), which have thinned rotation amid a packed schedule. Mainz, sitting 9th with an 8-9-12 record, showed mixed recent form including a 0-1 home loss to Freiburg last week, compounded by absences like Maxim Leitsch (hamstring) and Nadiem Amiri (heel), limiting upset potential while boosting draw odds to 19%.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourIf 1. FSV Mainz 05 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Apr 12, 2026, 12:52 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...If 1. FSV Mainz 05 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Apr 12, 2026, 12:52 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Bayern München's commanding position atop the Bundesliga table with 76 points from 29 matches and a +78 goal difference underpins trader consensus pricing them at 66.5% implied probability for victory over mid-table FSV Mainz 05, despite an away fixture at MEWA Arena. Bayern's superior squad depth and historical head-to-head dominance—winning 32 of 45 encounters—offset recent injuries to Serge Gnabry (knee), Lennart Karl (hamstring), and Tom Bischof (calf), which have thinned rotation amid a packed schedule. Mainz, sitting 9th with an 8-9-12 record, showed mixed recent form including a 0-1 home loss to Freiburg last week, compounded by absences like Maxim Leitsch (hamstring) and Nadiem Amiri (heel), limiting upset potential while boosting draw odds to 19%.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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