Bayern München's commanding Bundesliga lead with 76 points from 29 matches and a +78 goal difference drives their 66.5% implied probability as favorites away at MEWA Arena, bolstered by a thrilling 4-3 Champions League quarterfinal win over Real Madrid on April 15 that advanced them to the semifinals amid strong recent form. Mainz 05, sitting mid-table on 33 points with a -9 goal difference after 29 games, face an injury crisis including Jae-sung Lee (broken toe, out weeks), Silas (broken ankle), and several defenders sidelined, compounded by a humiliating 4-0 Conference League loss to Strasbourg on April 16. Bayern's squad depth offsets minor absences like Lennart Karl's thigh tear, while historical dominance (32 head-to-head wins) tempers Mainz's home upset potential at 16.5% and draw at 19%.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourIf 1. FSV Mainz 05 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Apr 12, 2026, 12:52 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...If 1. FSV Mainz 05 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Apr 12, 2026, 12:52 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Bayern München's commanding Bundesliga lead with 76 points from 29 matches and a +78 goal difference drives their 66.5% implied probability as favorites away at MEWA Arena, bolstered by a thrilling 4-3 Champions League quarterfinal win over Real Madrid on April 15 that advanced them to the semifinals amid strong recent form. Mainz 05, sitting mid-table on 33 points with a -9 goal difference after 29 games, face an injury crisis including Jae-sung Lee (broken toe, out weeks), Silas (broken ankle), and several defenders sidelined, compounded by a humiliating 4-0 Conference League loss to Strasbourg on April 16. Bayern's squad depth offsets minor absences like Lennart Karl's thigh tear, while historical dominance (32 head-to-head wins) tempers Mainz's home upset potential at 16.5% and draw at 19%.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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