Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors BTS's 'Arirang' album under 3 million first-week sales at 94.6% implied probability, driven by the group's ongoing hiatus amid mandatory military service for all members through mid-2025, limiting promotions and group synergy that fueled past mega-hits like Map of the Soul: 7's 4 million+ debut. Without official teasers, stadium tours, or variety show appearances—hallmarks of BTS's sales juggernauts—Hanteo and Circle Chart benchmarks point to muted demand, echoing Proof's 2.16 million in 2022. An upset to 3m+ would require unexpected pre-order surges from ARMY loyalty or a last-minute full-group reveal, but current silence from HYBE signals realism in the low-end outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourBTS 'Arirang' Première semaine de ventes d'albums ?
BTS 'Arirang' Première semaine de ventes d'albums ?
<3M 94.7%
3,5M-4M 1.9%
6M+ 1.4%
3m-3,5m 1.4%
$310,675 Vol.
$310,675 Vol.
<3M
95%
3m-3,5m
1%
3,5M-4M
2%
4M-4,5M
<1%
4,5 M-5 M
<1%
5M-5,5M
1%
5,5m-6m
1%
6M+
1%
<3M 94.7%
3,5M-4M 1.9%
6M+ 1.4%
3m-3,5m 1.4%
$310,675 Vol.
$310,675 Vol.
<3M
95%
3m-3,5m
1%
3,5M-4M
2%
4M-4,5M
<1%
4,5 M-5 M
<1%
5M-5,5M
1%
5,5m-6m
1%
6M+
1%
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Feb 3, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors BTS's 'Arirang' album under 3 million first-week sales at 94.6% implied probability, driven by the group's ongoing hiatus amid mandatory military service for all members through mid-2025, limiting promotions and group synergy that fueled past mega-hits like Map of the Soul: 7's 4 million+ debut. Without official teasers, stadium tours, or variety show appearances—hallmarks of BTS's sales juggernauts—Hanteo and Circle Chart benchmarks point to muted demand, echoing Proof's 2.16 million in 2022. An upset to 3m+ would require unexpected pre-order surges from ARMY loyalty or a last-minute full-group reveal, but current silence from HYBE signals realism in the low-end outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes