Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Amazon (AMZN) shares evenly across bins from under $235 to over $280 for the week-of-April-27 close, with all outcomes at 50.0% implied probabilities, signaling high uncertainty ahead of Q1 2026 earnings on April 29. Shares closed April 24 at $263.45, up over 17% from early-April lows near $225, driven by AWS momentum highlighted in CEO Andy Jassy's recent shareholder letter emphasizing AI infrastructure demand despite $200 billion 2026 capex guidance sparking margin concerns. Key differentiators include AWS revenue acceleration versus Microsoft Azure competition, e-commerce margin expansion amid Temu/Walmart pressures, and updated guidance; a beat could propel toward $280+, while misses risk pullback to $250 support levels. Earnings reaction will likely dictate resolution amid elevated trading volume.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour260 $-265 $ 41%
250–255 $ 39%
>280 $ 39%
240 $ - 245 $ 39%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 mai 2026
<235 $
38%
235 $–240 $
7%
240 $ - 245 $
39%
245 $-250 $
38%
250–255 $
39%
255 $-260 $
38%
260 $-265 $
41%
265 $ - 270 $
7%
270 $-275 $
37%
275 $-280 $
38%
>280 $
39%
260 $-265 $ 41%
250–255 $ 39%
>280 $ 39%
240 $ - 245 $ 39%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 mai 2026
<235 $
$0 Vol.
38%
235 $–240 $
$0 Vol.
7%
240 $ - 245 $
$0 Vol.
39%
245 $-250 $
$0 Vol.
38%
250–255 $
$0 Vol.
39%
255 $-260 $
$0 Vol.
38%
260 $-265 $
$0 Vol.
41%
265 $ - 270 $
$0 Vol.
7%
270 $-275 $
$0 Vol.
37%
275 $-280 $
$0 Vol.
38%
>280 $
$0 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Amazon (AMZN) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Amazon (AMZN) shares evenly across bins from under $235 to over $280 for the week-of-April-27 close, with all outcomes at 50.0% implied probabilities, signaling high uncertainty ahead of Q1 2026 earnings on April 29. Shares closed April 24 at $263.45, up over 17% from early-April lows near $225, driven by AWS momentum highlighted in CEO Andy Jassy's recent shareholder letter emphasizing AI infrastructure demand despite $200 billion 2026 capex guidance sparking margin concerns. Key differentiators include AWS revenue acceleration versus Microsoft Azure competition, e-commerce margin expansion amid Temu/Walmart pressures, and updated guidance; a beat could propel toward $280+, while misses risk pullback to $250 support levels. Earnings reaction will likely dictate resolution amid elevated trading volume.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Amazon (AMZN) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Marché ouvert : Apr 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
1 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Amazon (AMZN) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Amazon (AMZN) shares evenly across bins from under $235 to over $280 for the week-of-April-27 close, with all outcomes at 50.0% implied probabilities, signaling high uncertainty ahead of Q1 2026 earnings on April 29. Shares closed April 24 at $263.45, up over 17% from early-April lows near $225, driven by AWS momentum highlighted in CEO Andy Jassy's recent shareholder letter emphasizing AI infrastructure demand despite $200 billion 2026 capex guidance sparking margin concerns. Key differentiators include AWS revenue acceleration versus Microsoft Azure competition, e-commerce margin expansion amid Temu/Walmart pressures, and updated guidance; a beat could propel toward $280+, while misses risk pullback to $250 support levels. Earnings reaction will likely dictate resolution amid elevated trading volume.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Amazon (AMZN) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$0Date de fin
1 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Amazon (AMZN) shares evenly across bins from under $235 to over $280 for the week-of-April-27 close, with all outcomes at 50.0% implied probabilities, signaling high uncertainty ahead of Q1 2026 earnings on April 29. Shares closed April 24 at $263.45, up over 17% from early-April lows near $225, driven by AWS momentum highlighted in CEO Andy Jassy's recent shareholder letter emphasizing AI infrastructure demand despite $200 billion 2026 capex guidance sparking margin concerns. Key differentiators include AWS revenue acceleration versus Microsoft Azure competition, e-commerce margin expansion amid Temu/Walmart pressures, and updated guidance; a beat could propel toward $280+, while misses risk pullback to $250 support levels. Earnings reaction will likely dictate resolution amid elevated trading volume.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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