Elon Musk's typical weekly posting volume on X positions the 160-179 tweet range as the clear market leader at 60% implied probability. Traders draw from consistent historical patterns where his activity often clusters in that band during routine weeks without major announcements or controversies. With only one day remaining in the September 4-11 window, the 140-159 bucket at 24.3% reflects a possible slight slowdown, while higher brackets like 180-199 hold just 14.5% as momentum has not shifted dramatically. No major verified events in the past week have altered his baseline cadence, keeping the focus on established posting habits rather than breaking developments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour160-179 60%
140-159 23.8%
180-199 15%
200-219 1.8%
$1,450,026 Vol.
$1,450,026 Vol.
11 sept. 2026
120-139
<1%
140-159
24%
160-179
60%
180-199
15%
200-219
2%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
160-179 60%
140-159 23.8%
180-199 15%
200-219 1.8%
$1,450,026 Vol.
$1,450,026 Vol.
11 sept. 2026
120-139
$218,586 Vol.
<1%
140-159
$194,219 Vol.
24%
160-179
$85,625 Vol.
60%
180-199
$88,426 Vol.
15%
200-219
$92,765 Vol.
2%
220-239
$76,870 Vol.
<1%
240-259
$68,241 Vol.
<1%
260-279
$71,759 Vol.
<1%
280-299
$60,441 Vol.
<1%
300-319
$64,181 Vol.
<1%
320-339
$54,312 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$35,431 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$24,743 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$28,036 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$23,030 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$14,382 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$6,236 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$7,410 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$6,988 Vol.
<1%
500+
$54,827 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's typical weekly posting volume on X positions the 160-179 tweet range as the clear market leader at 60% implied probability. Traders draw from consistent historical patterns where his activity often clusters in that band during routine weeks without major announcements or controversies. With only one day remaining in the September 4-11 window, the 140-159 bucket at 24.3% reflects a possible slight slowdown, while higher brackets like 180-199 hold just 14.5% as momentum has not shifted dramatically. No major verified events in the past week have altered his baseline cadence, keeping the focus on established posting habits rather than breaking developments.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Sep 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$1,450,026Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's typical weekly posting volume on X positions the 160-179 tweet range as the clear market leader at 60% implied probability. Traders draw from consistent historical patterns where his activity often clusters in that band during routine weeks without major announcements or controversies. With only one day remaining in the September 4-11 window, the 140-159 bucket at 24.3% reflects a possible slight slowdown, while higher brackets like 180-199 hold just 14.5% as momentum has not shifted dramatically. No major verified events in the past week have altered his baseline cadence, keeping the focus on established posting habits rather than breaking developments.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,450,026Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's typical weekly posting volume on X positions the 160-179 tweet range as the clear market leader at 60% implied probability. Traders draw from consistent historical patterns where his activity often clusters in that band during routine weeks without major announcements or controversies. With only one day remaining in the September 4-11 window, the 140-159 bucket at 24.3% reflects a possible slight slowdown, while higher brackets like 180-199 hold just 14.5% as momentum has not shifted dramatically. No major verified events in the past week have altered his baseline cadence, keeping the focus on established posting habits rather than breaking developments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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