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Next James Bond actor?

icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

Callum Turner 43%

Harris Dickinson 10.5%

No Bond chosen 8%

Jack Lowdon 7.4%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Callum Turner 43%

Harris Dickinson 10.5%

No Bond chosen 8%

Jack Lowdon 7.4%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Callum Turner

$163 Vol.

36%

Harris Dickinson

$123 Vol.

6%

No Bond chosen

$107 Vol.

8%

Jack Lowdon

$94 Vol.

7%

Jacob Elordi

$106 Vol.

7%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$364 Vol.

5%

Josh O'Connor

$1,524 Vol.

4%

Henry Cavill

$89 Vol.

4%

Tom Holland

$87 Vol.

4%

James Norton

$124 Vol.

3%

Robert James-Collier

$85 Vol.

3%

Theo James

$178 Vol.

3%

Tom Hardy

$95 Vol.

3%

Michael B Jordan

$101 Vol.

3%

Paul Mescal

$128 Vol.

3%

Timothee Chalamet

$116 Vol.

3%

Pierce Brosnan

$139 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Callum Turner leads trader sentiment in the next James Bond market at 35.5% implied probability, fueled by his emergence as the frontrunner amid Amazon MGM’s official casting search that began in May 2026. Director Denis Villeneuve and casting director Nina Gold have started auditions for a British or Irish actor in his 30s suited for a multi-film commitment. Turner’s recent profile in The Hollywood Reporter, where he downplayed insider knowledge while receiving an unprompted endorsement from George Clooney, has reinforced momentum from his roles in Masters of the Air and The Boys in the Boat. The field remains fragmented behind him, with Jacob Elordi, Harris Dickinson, and Aaron Taylor-Johnson each hovering near 7% or lower amid unconfirmed shortlist speculation and the inherent uncertainty of secret studio decisions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,624
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Callum Turner leads trader sentiment in the next James Bond market at 35.5% implied probability, fueled by his emergence as the frontrunner amid Amazon MGM’s official casting search that began in May 2026. Director Denis Villeneuve and casting director Nina Gold have started auditions for a British or Irish actor in his 30s suited for a multi-film commitment. Turner’s recent profile in The Hollywood Reporter, where he downplayed insider knowledge while receiving an unprompted endorsement from George Clooney, has reinforced momentum from his roles in Masters of the Air and The Boys in the Boat. The field remains fragmented behind him, with Jacob Elordi, Harris Dickinson, and Aaron Taylor-Johnson each hovering near 7% or lower amid unconfirmed shortlist speculation and the inherent uncertainty of secret studio decisions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,624
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Next James Bond actor? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 17 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Callum Turner » à 36%, suivi de « No Bond chosen » à 8%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 36¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 36% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Next James Bond actor? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le May 18, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Next James Bond actor? », parcourez les 17 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Next James Bond actor? » est « Callum Turner » à 36%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 36% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « No Bond chosen » à 8%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Next James Bond actor? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.