Trader consensus for the 2026 Miami Open winner hinges on a razor-thin margin among Jannik Sinner (46%), Carlos Alcaraz (41%), and Brandon Nakashima (39%), underscoring intense competition on the hard courts where Sinner's world No. 1 dominance and Australian Open title run bolster his edge, while Alcaraz's 2024 Miami triumph and explosive baseline game keep him close. Nakashima's surge—fueled by a career-high ranking near top 30, strong U.S. hard-court results like his 2022 Newport win, and home-nation boost in Florida—has traders betting on breakout potential amid youth momentum. With 18 months until the event, shifting form, injuries, and qualifier risers like Martin Damm add volatility, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in this fluid ATP futures landscape.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'Open de Miami Hommes 2026
Vainqueur de l'Open de Miami Hommes 2026
Brandon Nakashima 78%
Martin Damm 51%
Gabriel Diallo 48%
Jannik Sinner 47%
$276,222 Vol.
$276,222 Vol.
Brandon Nakashima
78%
Martin Damm
51%
Gabriel Diallo
48%
Jannik Sinner
47%
Arthur Cazaux
44%
Carlos Alcaraz
41%
Marin Cilic
39%
Marton Fucsovics
26%
Damir Dzumhur
18%
Arthur Rinderknech
15%
Cameron Norrie
11%
Daniil Medvedev
6%
Tommy Paul
4%
Jakub Mensik
3%
Arthur Fils
3%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
2%
Andrey Rublev
2%
Sebastian Korda
2%
Felix Auger-Aliassime
2%
Alexander Zverev
1%
Taylor Fritz
1%
Alejandro Tabilo
1%
Alex Michelsen
1%
Karen Khachanov
1%
Francisco Cerundolo
1%
Jiri Lehecka
1%
Valentin Vacherot
1%
Frances Tiafoe
1%
Corentin Moutet
1%
Ugo Humbert
1%
Terence Atmane
1%
Kamil Majchrzak
1%
Matteo Berrettini
1%
Raphael Collignon
1%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
1%
Ethan Quinn
1%
Quentin Halys
1%
Ben Shelton
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Learner Tien
<1%
Tomas Machac
<1%
Zizou Bergs
<1%
Rei Sakamoto
<1%
Brandon Nakashima 78%
Martin Damm 51%
Gabriel Diallo 48%
Jannik Sinner 47%
$276,222 Vol.
$276,222 Vol.
Brandon Nakashima
78%
Martin Damm
51%
Gabriel Diallo
48%
Jannik Sinner
47%
Arthur Cazaux
44%
Carlos Alcaraz
41%
Marin Cilic
39%
Marton Fucsovics
26%
Damir Dzumhur
18%
Arthur Rinderknech
15%
Cameron Norrie
11%
Daniil Medvedev
6%
Tommy Paul
4%
Jakub Mensik
3%
Arthur Fils
3%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
2%
Andrey Rublev
2%
Sebastian Korda
2%
Felix Auger-Aliassime
2%
Alexander Zverev
1%
Taylor Fritz
1%
Alejandro Tabilo
1%
Alex Michelsen
1%
Karen Khachanov
1%
Francisco Cerundolo
1%
Jiri Lehecka
1%
Valentin Vacherot
1%
Frances Tiafoe
1%
Corentin Moutet
1%
Ugo Humbert
1%
Terence Atmane
1%
Kamil Majchrzak
1%
Matteo Berrettini
1%
Raphael Collignon
1%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
1%
Ethan Quinn
1%
Quentin Halys
1%
Ben Shelton
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Learner Tien
<1%
Tomas Machac
<1%
Zizou Bergs
<1%
Rei Sakamoto
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Miami Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Miami Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 12, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Miami Open (https://www.miamiopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 21, 2026, 10:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus for the 2026 Miami Open winner hinges on a razor-thin margin among Jannik Sinner (46%), Carlos Alcaraz (41%), and Brandon Nakashima (39%), underscoring intense competition on the hard courts where Sinner's world No. 1 dominance and Australian Open title run bolster his edge, while Alcaraz's 2024 Miami triumph and explosive baseline game keep him close. Nakashima's surge—fueled by a career-high ranking near top 30, strong U.S. hard-court results like his 2022 Newport win, and home-nation boost in Florida—has traders betting on breakout potential amid youth momentum. With 18 months until the event, shifting form, injuries, and qualifier risers like Martin Damm add volatility, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in this fluid ATP futures landscape.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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