Spain tops trader consensus at 15.7% implied probability as FIFA's No. 1 ranked side after the March rankings update, fueled by their flawless European qualifiers, Euro 2024 triumph, and young stars like Yamal and Pedri driving seamless possession play. England (12.7%) and France (11.9%) trail closely, reflecting robust squads with Premier League depth and Mbappé's goal threat, respectively, amid strong friendly showings like France's 3-1 win over Colombia on March 29. Defending champions Argentina (9.7%) hold firm despite Messi's advancing age, while Brazil (8.6%) lags on inconsistent CONMEBOL form. The bunched top reflects parity in a 48-team field, seeding rules separating elite sides until semifinals, and unresolved group draw uncertainties keeping the race wide open.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourEspagne 15.7%
Angleterre 12.7%
France 11.9%
Argentine 9.7%
$436,367,917 Vol.
$436,367,917 Vol.
Espagne
16%
Angleterre
13%
France
12%
Argentine
10%
Brésil
9%
Portugal
7%
Allemagne
5%
Pays-Bas
3%
Norvège
3%
Italie
3%
Belgique
2%
Colombie
2%
États-Unis
2%
Maroc
2%
Japon
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croatie
1%
Mexique
1%
Suisse
1%
Équateur
1%
Sénégal
1%
Canada
1%
Autriche
1%
Corée du Sud
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Côte d'Ivoire
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algérie
<1%
Écosse
<1%
Tunisie
<1%
Australie
<1%
Arabie saoudite
<1%
Égypte
<1%
Haïti
<1%
Jordanie
<1%
Iran
<1%
Afrique du Sud
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Nouvelle-Zélande
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Ouzbékistan
<1%
Espagne 15.7%
Angleterre 12.7%
France 11.9%
Argentine 9.7%
$436,367,917 Vol.
$436,367,917 Vol.
Espagne
16%
Angleterre
13%
France
12%
Argentine
10%
Brésil
9%
Portugal
7%
Allemagne
5%
Pays-Bas
3%
Norvège
3%
Italie
3%
Belgique
2%
Colombie
2%
États-Unis
2%
Maroc
2%
Japon
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croatie
1%
Mexique
1%
Suisse
1%
Équateur
1%
Sénégal
1%
Canada
1%
Autriche
1%
Corée du Sud
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Côte d'Ivoire
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algérie
<1%
Écosse
<1%
Tunisie
<1%
Australie
<1%
Arabie saoudite
<1%
Égypte
<1%
Haïti
<1%
Jordanie
<1%
Iran
<1%
Afrique du Sud
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Nouvelle-Zélande
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Ouzbékistan
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Résolveur
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Résolveur
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Spain tops trader consensus at 15.7% implied probability as FIFA's No. 1 ranked side after the March rankings update, fueled by their flawless European qualifiers, Euro 2024 triumph, and young stars like Yamal and Pedri driving seamless possession play. England (12.7%) and France (11.9%) trail closely, reflecting robust squads with Premier League depth and Mbappé's goal threat, respectively, amid strong friendly showings like France's 3-1 win over Colombia on March 29. Defending champions Argentina (9.7%) hold firm despite Messi's advancing age, while Brazil (8.6%) lags on inconsistent CONMEBOL form. The bunched top reflects parity in a 48-team field, seeding rules separating elite sides until semifinals, and unresolved group draw uncertainties keeping the race wide open.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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