Market icon
Sports·Football

Vainqueur de la Coupe du Monde de la FIFA 2026

Market icon
Sports·Football

Vainqueur de la Coupe du Monde de la FIFA 2026

Espagne 16.2%

Angleterre 12.6%

France 12.3%

Argentine 9.6%

Polymarket

$443,576,526 Vol.

Espagne 16.2%

Angleterre 12.6%

France 12.3%

Argentine 9.6%

Polymarket

$443,576,526 Vol.

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Espagne

$6,204,265 Vol.

16%

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Angleterre

$6,872,648 Vol.

13%

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France

$4,845,210 Vol.

12%

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Argentine

$7,082,065 Vol.

10%

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Brésil

$6,665,741 Vol.

9%

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Portugal

$8,192,855 Vol.

7%

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Allemagne

$6,904,567 Vol.

5%

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Pays-Bas

$9,225,233 Vol.

3%

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Italie

$8,061,932 Vol.

3%

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Norvège

$7,486,213 Vol.

3%

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Belgique

$7,591,649 Vol.

2%

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Colombie

$7,112,625 Vol.

2%

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États-Unis

$4,680,361 Vol.

2%

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Maroc

$8,950,076 Vol.

2%

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Japon

$8,648,565 Vol.

1%

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Uruguay

$7,436,738 Vol.

1%

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Croatie

$7,943,899 Vol.

1%

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Mexique

$6,741,305 Vol.

1%

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Suisse

$8,347,202 Vol.

1%

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Équateur

$8,844,890 Vol.

1%

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Sénégal

$8,250,897 Vol.

1%

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Canada

$11,571,760 Vol.

1%

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Autriche

$10,197,772 Vol.

1%

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Corée du Sud

$13,379,759 Vol.

<1%

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Paraguay

$11,684,341 Vol.

<1%

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Côte d'Ivoire

$9,032,377 Vol.

<1%

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Ghana

$10,217,974 Vol.

<1%

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Algérie

$11,013,088 Vol.

<1%

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Écosse

$11,081,143 Vol.

<1%

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Tunisie

$11,155,185 Vol.

<1%

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Australie

$8,153,343 Vol.

<1%

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Arabie saoudite

$17,565,996 Vol.

<1%

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Égypte

$10,480,885 Vol.

<1%

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Nouvelle-Zélande

$16,724,373 Vol.

<1%

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Haïti

$12,491,322 Vol.

<1%

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Jordanie

$16,539,663 Vol.

<1%

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Curaçao

$23,863,036 Vol.

<1%

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Iran

$11,488,196 Vol.

<1%

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Afrique du Sud

$19,489,284 Vol.

<1%

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Cape Verde

$10,508,966 Vol.

<1%

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Qatar

$13,252,416 Vol.

<1%

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Ouzbékistan

$27,381,419 Vol.

<1%

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Équipe Z

$16,392 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the 2026 FIFA World Cup at 16.3% implied probability, driven by their Euro 2024 triumph, dominant UEFA qualifiers, and recent friendly victory over Argentina on March 27 that showcased Yamal and Pedri's form. England (12.6%) and France (12.4%) trail closely, bolstered by perfect qualification campaigns, Mbappé's scoring prowess for Les Bleus, and Kane's leadership for the Three Lions amid strong Nations League showings. Argentina (9.6%) and Brazil (8.6%) remain competitive with defending champion pedigree and deep talent pools, though Messi's age and Brazil's inconsistent CONMEBOL path temper enthusiasm. The bunched odds reflect the expanded 48-team format's volatility, balanced group draw from December with powerhouse Pot 1 clashes, host advantages for USA/Canada/Mexico, and lingering March playoff upsets underscoring knockout unpredictability.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$443,576,526
Date de fin
20 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the 2026 FIFA World Cup at 16.3% implied probability, driven by their Euro 2024 triumph, dominant UEFA qualifiers, and recent friendly victory over Argentina on March 27 that showcased Yamal and Pedri's form. England (12.6%) and France (12.4%) trail closely, bolstered by perfect qualification campaigns, Mbappé's scoring prowess for Les Bleus, and Kane's leadership for the Three Lions amid strong Nations League showings. Argentina (9.6%) and Brazil (8.6%) remain competitive with defending champion pedigree and deep talent pools, though Messi's age and Brazil's inconsistent CONMEBOL path temper enthusiasm. The bunched odds reflect the expanded 48-team format's volatility, balanced group draw from December with powerhouse Pot 1 clashes, host advantages for USA/Canada/Mexico, and lingering March playoff upsets underscoring knockout unpredictability.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$443,576,526
Date de fin
20 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de la Coupe du Monde de la FIFA 2026 » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 44+ résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Espagne » à 16%, suivi de « Angleterre » à 13%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 16¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 16% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de la Coupe du Monde de la FIFA 2026 » a généré $443.6 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jul 2, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de la Coupe du Monde de la FIFA 2026 », parcourez les 44+ résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de la Coupe du Monde de la FIFA 2026 » est « Espagne » à 16%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 16% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Angleterre » à 13%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de la Coupe du Monde de la FIFA 2026 » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.