South Africa’s return to the World Cup after 16 years, combined with its Group A draw against Mexico and South Korea, positions it as a leading candidate for the weakest CAF finish according to trader consensus. Algeria and Tunisia face similarly demanding sections featuring Argentina and the Netherlands, respectively, while DR Congo and Ghana sit in groups headlined by Portugal and England. Cape Verde’s matchup with Spain and Uruguay adds pressure on the lowest-ranked qualifiers. In contrast, higher expectations surround Morocco, Senegal, and Ivory Coast despite their own elite opposition. Recent qualification campaigns and FIFA rankings underscore the gap, with the expanded 48-team format offering limited margin for the lower-seeded sides to progress beyond the group stage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTunisia 100.0%
South Africa 3.5%
Ghana <1%
Algeria <1%
$23,456 Vol.
$23,456 Vol.
Aug 2, 2026
Algeria
No
Cape Verde
No
Congo DR
No
Egypt
No
Ghana
No
Ivory Coast
No
Morocco
No
Senegal
No
South Africa
No
Tunisia
Yes
Tunisia 100.0%
South Africa 3.5%
Ghana <1%
Algeria <1%
$23,456 Vol.
$23,456 Vol.
Aug 2, 2026
Algeria
$459 Vol.
No
Cape Verde
$3,173 Vol.
No
Congo DR
$5,215 Vol.
No
Egypt
$503 Vol.
No
Ghana
$557 Vol.
No
Ivory Coast
$883 Vol.
No
Morocco
$1,324 Vol.
No
Senegal
$1,073 Vol.
No
South Africa
$1,401 Vol.
No
Tunisia
$8,868 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in CAF (Africa) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed CAF nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Africa’s return to the World Cup after 16 years, combined with its Group A draw against Mexico and South Korea, positions it as a leading candidate for the weakest CAF finish according to trader consensus. Algeria and Tunisia face similarly demanding sections featuring Argentina and the Netherlands, respectively, while DR Congo and Ghana sit in groups headlined by Portugal and England. Cape Verde’s matchup with Spain and Uruguay adds pressure on the lowest-ranked qualifiers. In contrast, higher expectations surround Morocco, Senegal, and Ivory Coast despite their own elite opposition. Recent qualification campaigns and FIFA rankings underscore the gap, with the expanded 48-team format offering limited margin for the lower-seeded sides to progress beyond the group stage.
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in CAF (Africa) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed CAF nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed CAF nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 5, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Volume
$23,456End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 4:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in CAF (Africa) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed CAF nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Africa’s return to the World Cup after 16 years, combined with its Group A draw against Mexico and South Korea, positions it as a leading candidate for the weakest CAF finish according to trader consensus. Algeria and Tunisia face similarly demanding sections featuring Argentina and the Netherlands, respectively, while DR Congo and Ghana sit in groups headlined by Portugal and England. Cape Verde’s matchup with Spain and Uruguay adds pressure on the lowest-ranked qualifiers. In contrast, higher expectations surround Morocco, Senegal, and Ivory Coast despite their own elite opposition. Recent qualification campaigns and FIFA rankings underscore the gap, with the expanded 48-team format offering limited margin for the lower-seeded sides to progress beyond the group stage.
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in CAF (Africa) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed CAF nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed CAF nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$23,456End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 4:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
South Africa’s return to the World Cup after 16 years, combined with its Group A draw against Mexico and South Korea, positions it as a leading candidate for the weakest CAF finish according to trader consensus. Algeria and Tunisia face similarly demanding sections featuring Argentina and the Netherlands, respectively, while DR Congo and Ghana sit in groups headlined by Portugal and England. Cape Verde’s matchup with Spain and Uruguay adds pressure on the lowest-ranked qualifiers. In contrast, higher expectations surround Morocco, Senegal, and Ivory Coast despite their own elite opposition. Recent qualification campaigns and FIFA rankings underscore the gap, with the expanded 48-team format offering limited margin for the lower-seeded sides to progress beyond the group stage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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