The closely bunched implied probabilities around 45–50% for Cape Verde, Algeria, Ghana, Senegal and several other CAF qualifiers highlight the even uncertainty over which African side will record the weakest 2026 World Cup showing. All ten nations earned automatic or playoff spots after topping their groups in a demanding qualification campaign, yet varying squad depth, recent international form, and the impact of the final draw create comparable risks of early group-stage struggles or poor overall results. Trader consensus reflects this parity, with no participant holding a decisive edge in historical patterns or current preparations heading into the expanded tournament.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCape Verde 48%
Ivory Coast 47%
Algeria 45%
Egypt 45%
Algeria
45%
Cape Verde
48%
Congo DR
44%
Egypt
45%
Ghana
45%
Ivory Coast
47%
Morocco
38%
Senegal
44%
South Africa
45%
Tunisia
43%
Cape Verde 48%
Ivory Coast 47%
Algeria 45%
Egypt 45%
Algeria
45%
Cape Verde
48%
Congo DR
44%
Egypt
45%
Ghana
45%
Ivory Coast
47%
Morocco
38%
Senegal
44%
South Africa
45%
Tunisia
43%
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed CAF nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jun 5, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed CAF nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely bunched implied probabilities around 45–50% for Cape Verde, Algeria, Ghana, Senegal and several other CAF qualifiers highlight the even uncertainty over which African side will record the weakest 2026 World Cup showing. All ten nations earned automatic or playoff spots after topping their groups in a demanding qualification campaign, yet varying squad depth, recent international form, and the impact of the final draw create comparable risks of early group-stage struggles or poor overall results. Trader consensus reflects this parity, with no participant holding a decisive edge in historical patterns or current preparations heading into the expanded tournament.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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