The expanded 48-team format and recent European Championship pedigree have kept the 2026 World Cup title race tightly bunched among the leading contenders. Spain edges the consensus as European champions with an unbeaten run since Euro 2024 and a balanced squad featuring emerging talents like Lamine Yamal, whose hamstring recovery timeline adds uncertainty but supports continued optimism. France sits close behind on the strength of its attacking depth and consistent qualification results, while England benefits from back-to-back major final appearances and a stable setup under its current manager. These factors, combined with favorable group draws for the top sides and limited standout shifts from recent friendlies, reflect trader consensus on a wide-open field where any of several European powers could advance deep based on form, injuries, and knockout-stage matchups.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSpagna 16.8%
Francia 16.4%
Inghilterra 11.3%
Portogallo 10.1%
$1,304,535,744 Vol.
$1,304,535,744 Vol.
Spagna
17%
Francia
16%
Inghilterra
11%
Portogallo
10%
Brasile
9%
Argentina
9%
Germania
5%
Paesi Bassi
4%
Norvegia
3%
Giappone
2%
Colombia
2%
Belgio
2%
Marocco
1%
Svizzera
1%
Stati Uniti
1%
Uruguay
1%
Messico
1%
Ecuador
1%
Croazia
1%
Turchia
1%
Senegal
1%
Austria
1%
Svezia
1%
Canada
<1%
Corea del Sud
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Bosnia-Erzegovina
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Scozia
<1%
Costa d'Avorio
<1%
Cechia
<1%
Egitto
<1%
Iran
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Repubblica Democratica del Congo
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nuova Zelanda
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Giordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Sudafrica
<1%
Capo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Arabia Saudita
<1%
Spagna 16.8%
Francia 16.4%
Inghilterra 11.3%
Portogallo 10.1%
$1,304,535,744 Vol.
$1,304,535,744 Vol.
Spagna
17%
Francia
16%
Inghilterra
11%
Portogallo
10%
Brasile
9%
Argentina
9%
Germania
5%
Paesi Bassi
4%
Norvegia
3%
Giappone
2%
Colombia
2%
Belgio
2%
Marocco
1%
Svizzera
1%
Stati Uniti
1%
Uruguay
1%
Messico
1%
Ecuador
1%
Croazia
1%
Turchia
1%
Senegal
1%
Austria
1%
Svezia
1%
Canada
<1%
Corea del Sud
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Bosnia-Erzegovina
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Scozia
<1%
Costa d'Avorio
<1%
Cechia
<1%
Egitto
<1%
Iran
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Repubblica Democratica del Congo
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nuova Zelanda
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Giordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Sudafrica
<1%
Capo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Arabia Saudita
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The expanded 48-team format and recent European Championship pedigree have kept the 2026 World Cup title race tightly bunched among the leading contenders. Spain edges the consensus as European champions with an unbeaten run since Euro 2024 and a balanced squad featuring emerging talents like Lamine Yamal, whose hamstring recovery timeline adds uncertainty but supports continued optimism. France sits close behind on the strength of its attacking depth and consistent qualification results, while England benefits from back-to-back major final appearances and a stable setup under its current manager. These factors, combined with favorable group draws for the top sides and limited standout shifts from recent friendlies, reflect trader consensus on a wide-open field where any of several European powers could advance deep based on form, injuries, and knockout-stage matchups.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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