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Tech·Big Tech

Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?

icon for Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?
Tech·Big Tech

Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?

77% chance
Polymarket
NEW
77% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman provides sworn oral testimony in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count. This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered. If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 70.5% implied probability that OpenAI CEO Sam Altman will testify against Elon Musk in the ongoing federal trial over OpenAI's founding agreements, driven by jury selection starting April 27, 2026, in California federal court and Altman's surprise courtroom appearance amid juror skepticism toward AI and Musk. Musk alleges Altman deceived him by shifting OpenAI from its nonprofit mission—prioritizing humanity over profit—to a for-profit entity backed by Microsoft, fueling xAI's competitive positioning in the AI race. Reports confirm clashing testimony expected from both AI titans, with a four-week trial ahead featuring potential witnesses like Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella; historical precedent in founder disputes favors key executives taking the stand, though last-minute strategy shifts remain possible.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman provides sworn oral testimony in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count.

This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered.

If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$934
Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 6:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman provides sworn oral testimony in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count. This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered. If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman provides sworn oral testimony in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count. This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered. If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 70.5% implied probability that OpenAI CEO Sam Altman will testify against Elon Musk in the ongoing federal trial over OpenAI's founding agreements, driven by jury selection starting April 27, 2026, in California federal court and Altman's surprise courtroom appearance amid juror skepticism toward AI and Musk. Musk alleges Altman deceived him by shifting OpenAI from its nonprofit mission—prioritizing humanity over profit—to a for-profit entity backed by Microsoft, fueling xAI's competitive positioning in the AI race. Reports confirm clashing testimony expected from both AI titans, with a four-week trial ahead featuring potential witnesses like Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella; historical precedent in founder disputes favors key executives taking the stand, though last-minute strategy shifts remain possible.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman provides sworn oral testimony in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count.

This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered.

If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$934
Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 6:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman provides sworn oral testimony in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count. This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered. If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 77% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 77¢, the market collectively assigns a 77% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?" is 77% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 77% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.