The March 31, 2026, deadline for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to visit New York City has expired without any confirmed travel, driving trader consensus to 100% on "No" as the implied probability. Persistent arrest threats from New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani, stemming from ongoing legal and diplomatic tensions, deterred the trip despite Netanyahu's earlier December 2025 vows to visit anyway. Instead, Netanyahu prioritized U.S. engagements in Washington, D.C., including a February meeting with President Trump on Iran policy, amid escalating military actions against Iran's leadership and weapons infrastructure reported in late March. With no late-breaking diplomatic announcements or travel logs emerging post-deadline, traders see negligible chance of reversal barring extraordinary unreported developments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$191,464 Vol.
$191,464 Vol.
Ja
$191,464 Vol.
$191,464 Vol.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Netanyahu physically entering the terrestrial territory of New York City, and setting foot on the ground. Whether or not Netanyahu enters New York City's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel, the United States, or New York City, or official information from Netanyahu or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/netanyahu); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 7, 2025, 5:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Netanyahu physically entering the terrestrial territory of New York City, and setting foot on the ground. Whether or not Netanyahu enters New York City's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel, the United States, or New York City, or official information from Netanyahu or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/netanyahu); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The March 31, 2026, deadline for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to visit New York City has expired without any confirmed travel, driving trader consensus to 100% on "No" as the implied probability. Persistent arrest threats from New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani, stemming from ongoing legal and diplomatic tensions, deterred the trip despite Netanyahu's earlier December 2025 vows to visit anyway. Instead, Netanyahu prioritized U.S. engagements in Washington, D.C., including a February meeting with President Trump on Iran policy, amid escalating military actions against Iran's leadership and weapons infrastructure reported in late March. With no late-breaking diplomatic announcements or travel logs emerging post-deadline, traders see negligible chance of reversal barring extraordinary unreported developments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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