Amid escalating tensions in the US-Iran conflict, Iran-aligned Iraqi militias have intensified drone and missile attacks on US diplomatic facilities in Baghdad's Green Zone, including strikes on the embassy's logistics center and diplomatic support sites in late March and early April 2026. The US Embassy issued urgent security alerts on April 2 and 8, warning of imminent assaults and ordering American citizens to depart Iraq immediately, while authorizing voluntary departure of nonessential personnel; no full-scale evacuation has occurred as of late April explosions near the embassy prompted air defense activations. Following the US-led coalition's complete troop withdrawal from federal Iraq in January 2026, the embassy remains operational but vulnerable, with traders monitoring State Department announcements, militia threats, and potential retaliatory US actions for resolution triggers.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$427,985 Vol.
28 feb 2026
28 de febrero
No
31 de marzo
No
30 de abril
No
$427,985 Vol.
28 de febrero
$53,991 Vol.
No
31 de marzo
$339,990 Vol.
No
30 de abril
$34,004 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Amid escalating tensions in the US-Iran conflict, Iran-aligned Iraqi militias have intensified drone and missile attacks on US diplomatic facilities in Baghdad's Green Zone, including strikes on the embassy's logistics center and diplomatic support sites in late March and early April 2026. The US Embassy issued urgent security alerts on April 2 and 8, warning of imminent assaults and ordering American citizens to depart Iraq immediately, while authorizing voluntary departure of nonessential personnel; no full-scale evacuation has occurred as of late April explosions near the embassy prompted air defense activations. Following the US-led coalition's complete troop withdrawal from federal Iraq in January 2026, the embassy remains operational but vulnerable, with traders monitoring State Department announcements, militia threats, and potential retaliatory US actions for resolution triggers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Mercado abierto: Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
Volumen
$427,985Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Amid escalating tensions in the US-Iran conflict, Iran-aligned Iraqi militias have intensified drone and missile attacks on US diplomatic facilities in Baghdad's Green Zone, including strikes on the embassy's logistics center and diplomatic support sites in late March and early April 2026. The US Embassy issued urgent security alerts on April 2 and 8, warning of imminent assaults and ordering American citizens to depart Iraq immediately, while authorizing voluntary departure of nonessential personnel; no full-scale evacuation has occurred as of late April explosions near the embassy prompted air defense activations. Following the US-led coalition's complete troop withdrawal from federal Iraq in January 2026, the embassy remains operational but vulnerable, with traders monitoring State Department announcements, militia threats, and potential retaliatory US actions for resolution triggers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Volumen
$427,985Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Amid escalating tensions in the US-Iran conflict, Iran-aligned Iraqi militias have intensified drone and missile attacks on US diplomatic facilities in Baghdad's Green Zone, including strikes on the embassy's logistics center and diplomatic support sites in late March and early April 2026. The US Embassy issued urgent security alerts on April 2 and 8, warning of imminent assaults and ordering American citizens to depart Iraq immediately, while authorizing voluntary departure of nonessential personnel; no full-scale evacuation has occurred as of late April explosions near the embassy prompted air defense activations. Following the US-led coalition's complete troop withdrawal from federal Iraq in January 2026, the embassy remains operational but vulnerable, with traders monitoring State Department announcements, militia threats, and potential retaliatory US actions for resolution triggers.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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