Market icon

Heisman Trophy Winner

Market icon

Heisman Trophy Winner

Fernando Mendoza 100.0%

Arch Manning <1%

Garrett Nussemeier <1%

Jeremiah Smith <1%

Polymarket

$1,270,603 Vol.

Fernando Mendoza 100.0%

Arch Manning <1%

Garrett Nussemeier <1%

Jeremiah Smith <1%

Polymarket

$1,270,603 Vol.

Arch Manning

$25,639 Vol.

No

Garrett Nussemeier

$8,486 Vol.

No

Jeremiah Smith

$24,225 Vol.

No

Dylan Raiola

$18,722 Vol.

No

Cade Klubnik

$11,434 Vol.

No

Drew Allar

$7,616 Vol.

No

LaNorris Sellers

$19,016 Vol.

No

Julian Sayin

$133,214 Vol.

No

Ty Simpson

$105,046 Vol.

No

DJ Lagway

$10,169 Vol.

No

Carson Beck

$20,466 Vol.

No

John Mateer

$35,474 Vol.

No

Sam Leavitt

$190,034 Vol.

No

Ryan Williams

$8,861 Vol.

No

Gunner Stockton

$67,201 Vol.

No

Austin Simmons

$12,017 Vol.

No

Marcel Reed

$40,316 Vol.

No

Fernando Mendoza

$229,828 Vol.

Yes

Jeremiyah Love

$122,405 Vol.

No

Diego Pavia

$159,594 Vol.

No

Johnny Manziel

$3,139 Vol.

No

Dante Moore

$17,701 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arch Manning is awarded the Heisman Trophy for the 2025-26 NCAA Football season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust.
Volume
$1,270,603
End Date
Dec 21, 2025
Created At
May 30, 2025, 6:26 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arch Manning is awarded the Heisman Trophy for the 2025-26 NCAA Football season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Heisman Trophy Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Fernando Mendoza" at 100%, followed by "Arch Manning" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Heisman Trophy Winner " has generated $1.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on May 30, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Heisman Trophy Winner ," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Heisman Trophy Winner " is "Fernando Mendoza" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Arch Manning" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Heisman Trophy Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.