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Geopolítica·Líder Supremo

¿Trump hablará con Mojtaba Khamenei antes del...?

Market icon
Geopolítica·Líder Supremo

¿Trump hablará con Mojtaba Khamenei antes del...?

$246,092 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$246,092 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de marzo

$226,737 Vol.

1%

30 de abril

$10,582 Vol.

7%

30 de junio

$8,772 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid ongoing US-Iran conflict sparked by US-Israeli strikes killing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in early March, Mojtaba Khamenei's swift appointment as successor on March 9 has entrenched hardline leadership, dimming prospects for direct talks with President Trump. Traders reflect this in low implied probabilities for communication by March 31 (1%), April 30 (7%), or June 30 (8%), driven by Trump's public displeasure with the appointment, confirmation of CIA intelligence on Mojtaba, and stalled indirect negotiations via envoys amid Iranian accusations of bad faith attacks and US threats of escalation. No verified direct channels exist, with recent airstrikes in Tehran underscoring tensions; de-escalation signals or summits could shift dynamics before resolution dates.

Amid ongoing US-Iran conflict sparked by US-Israeli strikes killing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in early March, Mojtaba Khamenei's swift appointment as successor on March 9 has entrenched hardline leadership, dimming prospects for direct talks with President Trump. Traders reflect this in low implied probabilities for communication by March 31 (1%), April 30 (7%), or June 30 (8%), driven by Trump's public displeasure with the appointment, confirmation of CIA intelligence on Mojtaba, and stalled indirect negotiations via envoys amid Iranian accusations of bad faith attacks and US threats of escalation. No verified direct channels exist, with recent airstrikes in Tehran underscoring tensions; de-escalation signals or summits could shift dynamics before resolution dates.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid ongoing US-Iran conflict sparked by US-Israeli strikes killing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in early March, Mojtaba Khamenei's swift appointment as successor on March 9 has entrenched hardline leadership, dimming prospects for direct talks with President Trump. Traders reflect this in low implied probabilities for communication by March 31 (1%), April 30 (7%), or June 30 (8%), driven by Trump's public displeasure with the appointment, confirmation of CIA intelligence on Mojtaba, and stalled indirect negotiations via envoys amid Iranian accusations of bad faith attacks and US threats of escalation. No verified direct channels exist, with recent airstrikes in Tehran underscoring tensions; de-escalation signals or summits could shift dynamics before resolution dates.

Amid ongoing US-Iran conflict sparked by US-Israeli strikes killing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in early March, Mojtaba Khamenei's swift appointment as successor on March 9 has entrenched hardline leadership, dimming prospects for direct talks with President Trump. Traders reflect this in low implied probabilities for communication by March 31 (1%), April 30 (7%), or June 30 (8%), driven by Trump's public displeasure with the appointment, confirmation of CIA intelligence on Mojtaba, and stalled indirect negotiations via envoys amid Iranian accusations of bad faith attacks and US threats of escalation. No verified direct channels exist, with recent airstrikes in Tehran underscoring tensions; de-escalation signals or summits could shift dynamics before resolution dates.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Trump hablará con Mojtaba Khamenei antes del...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "30 de junio" con 8%, seguido de "30 de abril" con 7%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 8¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 8% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Trump hablará con Mojtaba Khamenei antes del...?" ha generado $246.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 11, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Trump hablará con Mojtaba Khamenei antes del...?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Trump hablará con Mojtaba Khamenei antes del...?" es "30 de junio" con solo 8%, con "30 de abril" muy cerca con 7%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Trump hablará con Mojtaba Khamenei antes del...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.