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Elecciones·Vance

¿Trump respaldará a JD Vance para presidente antes de 2027?

Market icon
Elecciones·Vance

¿Trump respaldará a JD Vance para presidente antes de 2027?

Sí

27% chance
Polymarket

$45,283 Vol.

Sí

27% chance
Polymarket

$45,283 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, JD Vance for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 75% implied probability against Donald Trump endorsing JD Vance for president before 2027, driven by the absence of any such public statement since the 2024 election victory that positioned Vance as vice president-elect. Trump has instead prioritized cabinet nominations, transition planning, and executive priorities in recent interviews, avoiding 2028 succession discussions amid his history of delaying endorsements to preserve party influence. No official actions or announcements indicate an imminent nod to Vance, despite their close alliance, while the long timeline to 2027 leaves room for midterm developments, rival challengers, or shifting dynamics to emerge. This reflects bettors' assessment of Trump's pattern of extended political control rather than early kingmaking.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, JD Vance for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If Donald Trump announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.
Volumen
$45,283
Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 22, 2025, 1:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, JD Vance for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 75% implied probability against Donald Trump endorsing JD Vance for president before 2027, driven by the absence of any such public statement since the 2024 election victory that positioned Vance as vice president-elect. Trump has instead prioritized cabinet nominations, transition planning, and executive priorities in recent interviews, avoiding 2028 succession discussions amid his history of delaying endorsements to preserve party influence. No official actions or announcements indicate an imminent nod to Vance, despite their close alliance, while the long timeline to 2027 leaves room for midterm developments, rival challengers, or shifting dynamics to emerge. This reflects bettors' assessment of Trump's pattern of extended political control rather than early kingmaking.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, JD Vance for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If Donald Trump announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.
Volumen
$45,283
Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 22, 2025, 1:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Trump respaldará a JD Vance para presidente antes de 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Respaldará Trump a JD Vance para presidente antes de 2027?" con 27%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 27¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 27% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Trump respaldará a JD Vance para presidente antes de 2027?" ha generado $45.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 22, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Trump respaldará a JD Vance para presidente antes de 2027?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Trump respaldará a JD Vance para presidente antes de 2027?" es "¿Respaldará Trump a JD Vance para presidente antes de 2027?" con 27%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 27% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Trump respaldará a JD Vance para presidente antes de 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.