Market icon

Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by October 2?

Market icon

Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by October 2?

Ended: Sep 29, 2025

Ended: Sep 29, 2025

>99% chance
Polymarket

$193,250 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$193,250 Vol.

Taylor Swift’s 12th studio album, The Life of a Showgirl, is scheduled for release on October 3, 2025. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Taylor Swift officially releases a new song between September 11 and October 2, 2025, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases/remasters, remixes, acoustic versions, and re-recordings of previously released songs will not count; only new songs, officially released by Taylor Swift under her name, will qualify toward this market's resolution. Taylor Swift featuring on another artist's song will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g., Apple Music or Spotify.

Taylor Swift’s 12th studio album, The Life of a Showgirl, is scheduled for release on October 3, 2025.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Taylor Swift officially releases a new song between September 11 and October 2, 2025, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

Re-releases/remasters, remixes, acoustic versions, and re-recordings of previously released songs will not count; only new songs, officially released by Taylor Swift under her name, will qualify toward this market's resolution. Taylor Swift featuring on another artist's song will not qualify toward this market's resolution.

The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g., Apple Music or Spotify.
Volumen
$193,250
Fecha de finalización
Oct 2, 2025
Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2025, 6:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

Taylor Swift’s 12th studio album, The Life of a Showgirl, is scheduled for release on October 3, 2025. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Taylor Swift officially releases a new song between September 11 and October 2, 2025, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases/remasters, remixes, acoustic versions, and re-recordings of previously released songs will not count; only new songs, officially released by Taylor Swift under her name, will qualify toward this market's resolution. Taylor Swift featuring on another artist's song will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g., Apple Music or Spotify.

Taylor Swift’s 12th studio album, The Life of a Showgirl, is scheduled for release on October 3, 2025.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Taylor Swift officially releases a new song between September 11 and October 2, 2025, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

Re-releases/remasters, remixes, acoustic versions, and re-recordings of previously released songs will not count; only new songs, officially released by Taylor Swift under her name, will qualify toward this market's resolution. Taylor Swift featuring on another artist's song will not qualify toward this market's resolution.

The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g., Apple Music or Spotify.
Volumen
$193,250
Fecha de finalización
Oct 2, 2025
Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2025, 6:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by October 2?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 100% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 100¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by October 2?" ha generado $193.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Sep 11, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by October 2?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by October 2?" es 100% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 100% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by October 2?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.