Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution for the Bloomberg x Subdial Rolex Index amid a 0.3% decline in March 2026, ending a three-month rally as Sky-Dweller and Daytona collections fell 1.5% and 0.7%, respectively. Secondary market dynamics show 65% of models trading below January's 5-9% retail hikes, signaling oversupply and fading speculation despite steady high-net-worth demand tied to equity gains and gold pricing for precious-metal pieces. Overall luxury watch indices stabilized +0.1% last month, with Rolex underperforming peers like Patek Philippe. Watches & Wonders previews in late April may spur volatility, influencing transaction volumes before the April 30 resolution threshold around $12,100-$13,150.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$32,824 Vol.
30 abr 2026
↑ $13,150
1%
↑ $12,650
2%
↑ $12,550
2%
↑ $12,450
1%
↑ $12,350
2%
↑ $12,300
5%
↑ $12,250
9%
↓ $12,100
66%
↓ $12,050
42%
↓ $11,950
7%
↓ $11,850
3%
↓ $11,750
1%
$32,824 Vol.
↑ $13,150
$6,428 Vol.
1%
↑ $12,650
$2,785 Vol.
2%
↑ $12,550
$4,812 Vol.
2%
↑ $12,450
$5,605 Vol.
1%
↑ $12,350
$4,284 Vol.
2%
↑ $12,300
$1,253 Vol.
5%
↑ $12,250
$1,259 Vol.
9%
↓ $12,100
$767 Vol.
66%
↓ $12,050
$450 Vol.
42%
↓ $11,950
$1,716 Vol.
7%
↓ $11,850
$1,465 Vol.
3%
↓ $11,750
$2,000 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is Subdial — specifically, the Rolex Index chart available at https://subdial.com/market. The daily values in USD shown on the chart will be used for resolution.
This market refers to prices displayed in USD. To switch the display currency, use the currency toggle located at the left beneath the graph and select “USD” instead of “GBP”.
This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart reaches the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026, is published, and the listed price has not been reached. If no data for April 30, 2026, has been published by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to published data points on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart before the April 30, 2026 data point has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.This market will resolve to “Yes” if, for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is Subdial — specifically, the Rolex Index chart available at https://subdial.com/market. The daily values in USD shown on the chart will be used for resolution.
This market refers to prices displayed in USD. To switch the display currency, use the currency toggle located at the left beneath the graph and select “USD” instead of “GBP”.
This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart reaches the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026, is published, and the listed price has not been reached. If no data for April 30, 2026, has been published by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to published data points on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart before the April 30, 2026 data point has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution for the Bloomberg x Subdial Rolex Index amid a 0.3% decline in March 2026, ending a three-month rally as Sky-Dweller and Daytona collections fell 1.5% and 0.7%, respectively. Secondary market dynamics show 65% of models trading below January's 5-9% retail hikes, signaling oversupply and fading speculation despite steady high-net-worth demand tied to equity gains and gold pricing for precious-metal pieces. Overall luxury watch indices stabilized +0.1% last month, with Rolex underperforming peers like Patek Philippe. Watches & Wonders previews in late April may spur volatility, influencing transaction volumes before the April 30 resolution threshold around $12,100-$13,150.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is Subdial — specifically, the Rolex Index chart available at https://subdial.com/market. The daily values in USD shown on the chart will be used for resolution.
This market refers to prices displayed in USD. To switch the display currency, use the currency toggle located at the left beneath the graph and select “USD” instead of “GBP”.
This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart reaches the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026, is published, and the listed price has not been reached. If no data for April 30, 2026, has been published by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to published data points on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart before the April 30, 2026 data point has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Subdial — specifically, the Rolex Index chart available at https://subdial.com/market. The daily values in USD shown on the chart will be used for resolution.
This market refers to prices displayed in USD. To switch the display currency, use the currency toggle located at the left beneath the graph and select “USD” instead of “GBP”.
This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart reaches the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026, is published, and the listed price has not been reached. If no data for April 30, 2026, has been published by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to published data points on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart before the April 30, 2026 data point has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Mar 16, 2026, 8:21 PM ET
Volumen
$32,824Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 16, 2026, 8:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is Subdial — specifically, the Rolex Index chart available at https://subdial.com/market. The daily values in USD shown on the chart will be used for resolution.
This market refers to prices displayed in USD. To switch the display currency, use the currency toggle located at the left beneath the graph and select “USD” instead of “GBP”.
This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart reaches the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026, is published, and the listed price has not been reached. If no data for April 30, 2026, has been published by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to published data points on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart before the April 30, 2026 data point has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.This market will resolve to “Yes” if, for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is Subdial — specifically, the Rolex Index chart available at https://subdial.com/market. The daily values in USD shown on the chart will be used for resolution.
This market refers to prices displayed in USD. To switch the display currency, use the currency toggle located at the left beneath the graph and select “USD” instead of “GBP”.
This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart reaches the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026, is published, and the listed price has not been reached. If no data for April 30, 2026, has been published by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to published data points on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart before the April 30, 2026 data point has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution for the Bloomberg x Subdial Rolex Index amid a 0.3% decline in March 2026, ending a three-month rally as Sky-Dweller and Daytona collections fell 1.5% and 0.7%, respectively. Secondary market dynamics show 65% of models trading below January's 5-9% retail hikes, signaling oversupply and fading speculation despite steady high-net-worth demand tied to equity gains and gold pricing for precious-metal pieces. Overall luxury watch indices stabilized +0.1% last month, with Rolex underperforming peers like Patek Philippe. Watches & Wonders previews in late April may spur volatility, influencing transaction volumes before the April 30 resolution threshold around $12,100-$13,150.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is Subdial — specifically, the Rolex Index chart available at https://subdial.com/market. The daily values in USD shown on the chart will be used for resolution.
This market refers to prices displayed in USD. To switch the display currency, use the currency toggle located at the left beneath the graph and select “USD” instead of “GBP”.
This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart reaches the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026, is published, and the listed price has not been reached. If no data for April 30, 2026, has been published by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to published data points on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart before the April 30, 2026 data point has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Subdial — specifically, the Rolex Index chart available at https://subdial.com/market. The daily values in USD shown on the chart will be used for resolution.
This market refers to prices displayed in USD. To switch the display currency, use the currency toggle located at the left beneath the graph and select “USD” instead of “GBP”.
This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart reaches the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026, is published, and the listed price has not been reached. If no data for April 30, 2026, has been published by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to published data points on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart before the April 30, 2026 data point has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.
Volumen
$32,824Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 16, 2026, 8:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution for the Bloomberg x Subdial Rolex Index amid a 0.3% decline in March 2026, ending a three-month rally as Sky-Dweller and Daytona collections fell 1.5% and 0.7%, respectively. Secondary market dynamics show 65% of models trading below January's 5-9% retail hikes, signaling oversupply and fading speculation despite steady high-net-worth demand tied to equity gains and gold pricing for precious-metal pieces. Overall luxury watch indices stabilized +0.1% last month, with Rolex underperforming peers like Patek Philippe. Watches & Wonders previews in late April may spur volatility, influencing transaction volumes before the April 30 resolution threshold around $12,100-$13,150.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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